How Can You Tell If an Option Is Overpriced? | #OptionsHandbook EP013

Option_Lab
08-06

When analyzing stocks, people often look at the P/E ratio to decide whether a stock is expensive or cheap. 📊

In the options market, that “price check” tool is called volatility.

📘 In the Options Handbook, volatility is explained like this:

Measuring How Much Prices Move. 📈

Volatility tracks how wildly a stock tends to move. There are two primary flavours of volatility:

Implied Volatility (IV)–the market’s forecast of future moves.

  • If IV is high, traders expect turbulence up, down, or both.

  • If IV is low, the market's pricing in relative calm.

But here's the key point: IV isn't about whether the stock will go up or down. It's about how uncertain things feel right now.

Historical Volatility (HV)–how much the asset has moved in the past. Think of it as your rearview mirror.

What IV Tells You? 💡

When IV is high, option premiums rise.

  • For buyers: higher cost, lower reward ratio.

  • For sellers: more income—but higher risk of being assigned and larger potential losses.

🎁 There’s a lot more on volatility—real examples, charts, and strategies—in the Options Handbook, now available in the Tiger Coin Center!

>> Redeem Options Handbook Now <<

>> Click here for the Simplified Chinese version <<

How to Profit from IV Crush in Earnings Season?
During earnings season, IV Crush refers to the sharp decline in implied volatility (IV) after a company's earnings report. Before earnings, IV rises due to uncertainty about the outcome, causing option prices to increase. After the earnings release, this uncertainty dissipates, leading to a rapid drop in IV. This decline impacts options prices, often causing them to decrease even if the stock price moves favorably. ----------------- How to take advantage of IV crush in earnings season? Share your experiences!
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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