SE +77% YTD — Back to No.1 in SEA?

MillionaireTiger
08-26

Southeast Asia’s e-commerce and gaming giant $Sea Ltd(SE)$ has staged a remarkable comeback — its stock is up +76.8% YTD, pushing its market cap to $111B, nearly on par with $DBS(D05.SI)$. Could it soon reclaim the crown as the region’s most valuable company?

👉 Was SE ever part of your portfolio? And did you catch this rally?

🎉 Shoutout to some standout gains from our community:

🎉 Huge congrats to @TanZhenyu for earning $11,557 profit on SE.

🎉 Huge congrats to @JSWong for securing $7,258 profit on SE.

🎉 Huge congrats to @WalkerWoon for earning $6,586 profit on SE.

🎉 Huge congrats to @michaelchan8 for securing $4,106 profit on SE.

What’s Driving the Surge?

After Q2 earnings, SE shares hit a 3-year high thanks to stronger-than-expected sales:

  • Net profit jumped 418% YoY to $414M.

  • Revenue rose 38% YoY to $5.26B.

  • All three core businesses — e-commerce, digital finance, and gaming — delivered growth.

E-commerce (Shopee):

  • GMV +28% YoY to $29.8B.

  • Revenue +34% YoY to $3.8B.

  • EBITDA swung to $228M profit vs. a $9M loss last year.

  • CEO Li Xiaodong highlighted Brazil as a key growth driver, where Shopee is now the order-volume leader.

Digital Finance (Monee):

  • Revenue +70% YoY to $883M.

  • EBITDA +55% YoY to $255M.

  • Credit business still early stage but gaining momentum.

Digital Entertainment (Garena):

  • Revenue +28% YoY to $559M.

  • EBITDA +22% YoY to $368M.

  • Free Fire momentum prompted management to raise full-year guidance, forecasting +30% bookings growth in 2025.

Valuation Check (E-commerce Focus)

Takeaway:

  • AMZN = benchmark for value & stability

  • SE = strongest growth story

  • MELI = middle ground

  • SHOP = SaaS-like premium, not a fair e-commerce comp

Risks to Watch

  • Short interest in SE has climbed, hinting at potential volatility.

  • Current price trades near the top of its trend range — a pullback toward ~$159 (50-day MA) wouldn’t be unusual, especially with seasonal weakness in Aug/Sep.

💡 If you’re holding SE — would you ride it for 10 years?
If not holding — how much upside do you still see? Or do you expect a correction first?

🧭 Share positions:

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Comments

  • Optionspuppy
    08-26
    Optionspuppy
    Here to support
  • CynthiaVogt
    08-26
    CynthiaVogt
    $Sea Ltd(SE)$ another 52-week high
    The best part of this run-up is that the forward returns still look attractive.
    • PaulSam
      SE will pass MELI and market cap by the end of the year.
      SE is still too cheap for it's potential. MELI is probably priced at fair value right now.
  • ADguynight
    08-26
    ADguynight
    Whos been riding this, just curious? Very jealous.
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