Over the past two years, Chinese assets have been like a roller coaster—plunging all the way down, but in doing so, catching the eyes of global investors once again.
Valuation recovery story: A-shares went through a prolonged compression, and today their overall P/E ratios have dropped to historical lows, like “quality goods on sale.”
The Hong Kong label: The Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index still carry the title of “the world’s cheapest market,” cheap enough to make investors take a second look.
Smart money in motion: Southbound capital continues to pour in, with ETFs like Hang Seng China Enterprises (HSCEI) and Hang Seng Tech repeatedly hitting record turnover. Beneath the noise lies opportunity.
Policy momentum: From growth stabilization to capital market reforms, policy has acted as an “invisible hand,” steadily injecting fresh liquidity into the market.
The result? Chinese assets may be entering a cycle of “undervalued re-rating.” More overseas investors are already getting on board—quietly using Northbound Trading + Hong Kong ETFs to participate in both arbitrage and long-term allocation.
I. What is Northbound Trading? Why can it be used for HK arbitrage?
Northbound Trading is the primary channel for overseas investors to access China’s A-shares. By opening an account with an eligible broker (e.g., Tiger Brokers), Hong Kong and overseas investors can directly trade A-shares included in the “eligible list.”
Key points:
Eligible securities: Large-cap indices such as SSE 180, CSI 300, SZSE 100, plus certain ETFs.
Trading currency: Orders are placed in HKD; brokers automatically convert to RMB for settlement.
Capital threshold: None. Overseas investors can freely participate.
Why does arbitrage work between A-shares and Hong Kong stocks? Because many indices or ETFs exist in both markets. When prices diverge, arbitrage opportunities arise.
Example: The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index has both a Northbound ETF version and a Hong Kong-listed ETF (02828.HK). Whenever prices slip out of sync, savvy investors can buy low and sell high across markets.
II. Popular Choices: Southern A50 vs. HSCEI—Which is Better for Arbitrage?
In the Hong Kong ETF market, a few “star products” are commonly used for cross-market arbitrage:
Southern A50 ( $南方A50(02822)$)
Index tracked: FTSE China A50 Index, the 50 largest and most liquid A-shares.
Features:
Concentrated in leading financials, real estate, and energy companies; highly stable.
Closely linked with A50 futures and ETFs, making hedging easier.
Pros & Cons:
Pros: Stable performance, tight linkage with A-shares; suitable for large, conservative arbitrage trades.
Cons: Low volatility, meaning smaller arbitrage spreads.
Hang Seng China Enterprises ETF ( $恒生中国企业(02828)$ )
Index tracked: HSCEI (H-share index), including major SOEs in banking, insurance, telecom, and energy.
Features:
One of the most actively traded ETFs in Hong Kong; excellent liquidity.
Highly sensitive to policy shifts and investor sentiment.
Pros & Cons:
Pros: High liquidity, frequent arbitrage opportunities.
Cons: Higher volatility; spreads may close quickly, requiring fast execution.
Simple Arbitrage Case:
A-share HSCEI ETF quote: 15.20 RMB
HK HSCEI ETF ( $恒生中国企业(02828)$ ), converted into RMB: 14.90 RMB
Arbitrage logic:
Buy HSCEI ETF in Hong Kong at 14.90.
Sell the corresponding A-share ETF at 15.20.
Spread = 0.30 RMB per unit.
For 100,000 units: theoretical profit = 30,000 RMB. After fees, stamp duty, and FX costs (~0.10 RMB/unit), net profit ≈ 20,000 RMB.
Conclusion: HSCEI suits short-term arbitrage; Southern A50 suits steady allocation.
III. Practical Differences: How HK vs. Overseas Investors Can Play
Account opening: Through local brokers or online brokers (e.g., Tiger Brokers Hong Kong), then activate Northbound Trading. No capital threshold.
Trading paths:
Directly trade Hong Kong ETFs.
Or use Northbound to trade A-shares/ETFs.
Advantage: With Northbound, you can arbitrage directly between A-shares and their HK-listed counterparts within a single account.
Steps to start:
Open a Tiger Brokers account and fund it. With one account, you can seamlessly trade A-shares, HK stocks, and U.S. stocks.
Search for the stock or ETF you want and click to trade.
Choose your order type; Tiger Trade submits compliant orders for you.
IV. Risk Reminder: Arbitrage ≠ Risk-Free
Quota limits: Southbound quota RMB 42B / Northbound RMB 52B; once maxed out, trading halts.
Settlement mismatch: HK = T+0 (same-day buy/sell); A-shares = T+1 (next-day sell). Arbitrageurs must consider timing gaps.
Liquidity risk: Niche ETFs may only trade a few million daily—hard to move large positions.
Policy risk: Connect schemes are regulator-driven. Sudden rule changes may eliminate arbitrage windows.
ETF Quick Guide
ETF Name | Code | Index Tracked | Fee | Features | Suitable For |
Southern A50 ETF | FTSE China A50 Index | 0.99% | Core A-share blue chips; low volatility | Conservative investors; A-share core focus | |
HSCEI ETF | Hang Seng China Enterprises | 0.60% | Top liquidity; frequent arbitrage | Arbitrage traders; policy-driven investors | |
Hang Seng Tech ETF | Hang Seng Tech Index | 0.88% | Tech leaders; high volatility | Growth-seekers; high risk tolerance | |
Tracker Fund (HSI) | Hang Seng Index | 0.09% | Market “anchor”; lowest fee; active trading | Long-term allocators; portfolio core |
Conclusion
For overseas investors, Northbound Trading is the express lane into China’s markets.
With it, you can buy A-share giants like Kweichow Moutai and Ping An Insurance, while also using Hong Kong-listed ETFs (e.g., HSCEI, Hang Seng Tech, Southern A50) within the same account.
The biggest advantages:
Simplicity: No complicated cross-border procedures; just open an account with an eligible broker.
Diversity: Access both A-share blue chips and HK ETFs at low cost.
Arbitrage potential: Capture spreads when A-share and HK prices diverge.
In the global investment landscape, mastering this “passport” is like holding a key card to China’s asset allocation game.
Invest in China with Tiger—your one-stop solution
Bullish on China but not sure how to allocate? With one Tiger account, you can invest in a range of China-related assets:
A-shares Connect: $HUATAI-PINEBRIDGE CSI 300 INDEX TRADING SECURITIES INVESTMENT FUND(510300)$ ; $CARD IN 500 EXCHANGE-TRADED INDEX SECURITIES INVESTMENT FUND(510500)$ ; $E-FUND GEM TYPE OPEN INDEX TRADING SECURITIES INVESTMENT FUND(159915)$ $Contemporary Amperex Technology Co.,Ltd.(300750)$ ; $Kweichow Moutai Co.,Ltd.(600519)$
Hong Kong Market: $Xinjiang Tianshun Supply Chain Co.,Ltd.(002800)$ $HSCEI ETF(02828)$ $CAM MSCI A50(02839)$ ; $TENCENT(00700)$ , $MEITUAN-W(03690)$ , $CHINA MOBILE(00941)$
US Markets: $Xtrackers Harvest CSI 300 China A-Shares ETF(ASHR)$ , $KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF(KWEB)$ , $iShares China Large-Cap ETF(FXI)$ , $Alibaba(BABA)$ , $BIDU-SW(09888)$ $PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$
In addition, Tiger Trade’s signature features—TigerAI and Recurring Investment—make it easier to build exposure to Chinese assets:
TigerAI Investment Assistant: New to Chinese assets? Ask anytime—e.g., “Which ETFs track the CSI 300?” or “Which China ADRs are trending lately?”—and get answers instantly.
Recurring Investments for HK stocks & ETFs: Worried about timing? Tiger Trade supports daily/weekly/monthly recurring plans for Hong Kong stocks and ETFs to average your cost, build long-term positions, and pursue steadier outcomes.
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