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2025-09-14

$UnitedHealth(UNH)$ ๐Ÿ’Š๐Ÿ“ˆ๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ $UNH Breakout With Value Compounding ๐Ÿ’Š๐Ÿ“ˆ๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ

I see UnitedHealth breaking out as a value compounder hiding in plain sight. Despite people served falling (โ€“4.08% YoY), Optum Health growth offsets declines, driving superior cash returns. At just 15.2x P/E and a 7.92% FCF yield, the setup is compelling.

Breakout over $350 now sets short-term target $370 and medium-term path toward $395โ€“400. Support holds at $345โ€“347, and history shows UNH breakouts of this structure deliver 12โ€“15% measured moves.

Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC ๐Ÿ“ˆ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿ€๐Ÿ€๐Ÿ€

UNH Breakout: Next Target $400?
UnitedHealth continues to jump after the health insurer reaffirmed its full-year 2025 earnings outlook. The company said it continues to expect adjusted earnings of at least $16.00 per share with revenue in the range of $445.5 billion to $448.0 billion. Wall Street currently forecasts earnings of $16.24 per share on revenue near $448.2 billion. ----------- After breaking the key resistance level of $320, is UNH hitting the short term peak? Have you jumped on the wagon with Buffett?
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Comments

  • Lemontree2025
    2025-09-15
    Lemontree2025
    ไธ‹ๅ‘จไธ€ๅˆ†็บขๆ—ฅ็ป“ๆŸ๏ผŒ่‚กไปทๆœ‰ๆฒกๅฏ่ƒฝๅ›žๆ’ค
    • Barcode:ย 
      ๐Ÿ’Š๐Ÿฉบ๐Ÿฆ…๐Ÿ…—๐Ÿ…๐Ÿ…Ÿ๐Ÿ…Ÿ๐Ÿ…จ โ“‰โ“กโ“โ““โ“˜โ“โ“– ๐Ÿ…๐Ÿ…—๐Ÿ…”๐Ÿ…๐Ÿ…“! ๐Ÿ…’๐Ÿ…—๐Ÿ…”๐Ÿ…”๐Ÿ…ก๐Ÿ…ข ๐Ÿ…‘๐Ÿ…’ ๐Ÿ€๐Ÿ€๐Ÿ€๐ŸŸข
    • Barcode:ย 
      Hold that zone and the breakout path to $370 remains intact. A close below $345 could invite a deeper check into $340โ€“342 where recent 4H support and a volume shelf sit. Given 15.2x P/E and a 7.92% FCF yield, my base case is a brief ex-div pullback that gets bought.
    • Barcode:ย 
      After the ex-dividend date the stock typically opens lower by roughly the cash dividend, which is less than 1% at these prices, and that gap is often retraced quickly. Iโ€™m treating that as a shallow dip unless price loses the $345โ€“347 shelf.
    • Barcode:ย 
      Lemontree2025 ๐Ÿ“Š I appreciate you taking the time to read through my post, it means a lot sharing ideas with sharp readers like you ๐ŸŒŸ๐Ÿ€
  • LawrenceSG
    2025-09-14
    LawrenceSG
    eagle eat medicine
    • Barcode:ย 
      ๐Ÿ’Š๐Ÿฉบ๐Ÿฆ…๐Ÿ…—๐Ÿ…๐Ÿ…Ÿ๐Ÿ…Ÿ๐Ÿ…จ โ“‰โ“กโ“โ““โ“˜โ“โ“– ๐Ÿ…๐Ÿ…—๐Ÿ…”๐Ÿ…๐Ÿ…“! ๐Ÿ…’๐Ÿ…—๐Ÿ…”๐Ÿ…”๐Ÿ…ก๐Ÿ…ข ๐Ÿ…‘๐Ÿ…’ ๐Ÿ€๐Ÿ€๐Ÿ€๐ŸŸข
    • Barcode:ย 
      ๐Ÿฆ…๐Ÿฆ…๐Ÿฆ…๐Ÿ’Š๐Ÿ’Š๐Ÿ’Š UnitedHealth is very much in that space where scale and service depth let them dominate the healthcare ecosystem. Optumโ€™s vertical expansion has been the real growth engine, and thatโ€™s what keeps cash compounding regardless of enrollment shifts.
    • Barcode:ย 
      LawrenceSG ๐Ÿ’กThanks for checking out my post, always good to have thoughtful eyes on the setups Iโ€™m tracking.
  • Cool Cat Winston
    2025-09-15
    Cool Cat Winston
    ๐Ÿ’ŠI like how you tied the 15.2x multiple with the 7.9% FCF yield, that combo screams undervalued defensive. Reminds me of how $JNJ held its ground while compounding when volumes slowed, quality balance sheets keep delivering.
  • Tui Jude
    2025-09-15
    Tui Jude
    ๐Ÿ“ˆThat 12โ€“15% measured move stat caught my eye, lines up well with your $370 short-term target. Iโ€™ve been mapping $LLY in a similar way where technical rhythm matches long-term cash flows, both show why fundamentals still drive breakouts.
  • Hen Solo
    2025-09-15
    Hen Solo
    ๐Ÿ›ก๏ธThe Optum Health offset is the real story, thatโ€™s why cash keeps expanding even as total people served dips. When I look at $PFE charts, I see how margin leverage matters more than volume, UNH is clearly positioned for another compounding run.
  • Queengirlypops
    2025-09-15
    Queengirlypops
    Short-term $370 then pushing toward $400 is clean, you laid it out with no fluff and thatโ€™s why it hits. The fact UNH can flex like a growth stock while compounding cash like a defensive is wild, feels like one of those setups you canโ€™t ignore.
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