Key Data & Recent Performance
• Rubrik has shown strong revenue growth — ~50%+ year-over-year in several recent quarters. 
• Losses remain, but the company has been steadily narrowing its adjusted loss per share. 
• A large portion of revenue comes from subscription / annual recurring revenue (ARR), giving more predictable cash flows. 
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Analyst Consensus & Price Targets
• Analysts generally have a “Buy / Strong Buy” consensus on RBRK. 
• 12-month price targets cluster around US$100-US$115 for many analysts, with some optimism pushing as high as US$130. 
• The more conservative floor tends to be around US$80-US$90 in scenarios where growth expectations fall short or if operating costs rise. 
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Forecast & Risks
Price Forecast (12-Month Horizon):
• Base case: ~$105-$115, assuming continued strong subscription growth, steady improvement in losses, and favorable macro conditions in the cybersecurity/software sectors.
• Upside: If Rubrik executes well, especially on margin improvements or larger enterprise deals, price could push toward the ~$125-$130 zone.
• Downside: If ARR growth slows, competition intensifies, or costs overshoot expectations, risk exists of a drop toward ~$80-$90 or lower.
Risks to Monitor:
• Continued unprofitability and potential capital needs.
• Macroeconomic pressure or tech sector rotations (cybersecurity can be volatile in market sentiment).
• Competitive threats and technological shifts.
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