Ecery
09-14

$Rubrik Inc.(RBRK)$ 

Key Data & Recent Performance

• Rubrik has shown strong revenue growth — ~50%+ year-over-year in several recent quarters. 

• Losses remain, but the company has been steadily narrowing its adjusted loss per share. 

• A large portion of revenue comes from subscription / annual recurring revenue (ARR), giving more predictable cash flows. 

Analyst Consensus & Price Targets

• Analysts generally have a “Buy / Strong Buy” consensus on RBRK. 

• 12-month price targets cluster around US$100-US$115 for many analysts, with some optimism pushing as high as US$130. 

• The more conservative floor tends to be around US$80-US$90 in scenarios where growth expectations fall short or if operating costs rise. 

Forecast & Risks

Price Forecast (12-Month Horizon):

• Base case: ~$105-$115, assuming continued strong subscription growth, steady improvement in losses, and favorable macro conditions in the cybersecurity/software sectors.

• Upside: If Rubrik executes well, especially on margin improvements or larger enterprise deals, price could push toward the ~$125-$130 zone.

• Downside: If ARR growth slows, competition intensifies, or costs overshoot expectations, risk exists of a drop toward ~$80-$90 or lower.

Risks to Monitor:

• Continued unprofitability and potential capital needs.

• Macroeconomic pressure or tech sector rotations (cybersecurity can be volatile in market sentiment).

• Competitive threats and technological shifts.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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