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09-20

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$  

Key Developments


The U.K. Ministry of Defence has extended and expanded its partnership with Palantir, committing over $1B across five years. This reinforces Palantir’s positioning as a mission-critical analytics provider for Western governments.


The stock closed at $176.97 (+5.1%) on the news, and is now +134% YTD in 2025.


Despite the rally, it is still slightly below its all-time high of $190 (12 Aug 2025).




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Bullish Factors


1. Government Contracts = Sticky Revenue

Defence and security clients tend to renew and expand deals once Palantir is embedded in operations. Multi-year contracts provide visibility and stability.



2. Validation Effect

Major governments (U.S., U.K., NATO partners) serve as endorsements, opening doors to corporate and international contracts.



3. AI/Big Data Tailwinds

Palantir positions itself not just as analytics, but as a decision-making AI platform, aligning with global demand for AI integration in security, healthcare, and enterprise sectors.





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Risks / Signs of Consolidation


1. Valuation Stretch

At +134% YTD, multiples are rich compared to peers. Future upside depends more on growth delivery than narrative.



2. Overreliance on Government Spending

While defence contracts are stable, concentration risk exists. Any slowdown in new corporate adoption could temper growth.



3. Technical Overextension

Having surged, the stock may consolidate between $160–$180 before retesting its all-time highs. Momentum traders may lock in gains.





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Outlook


Short Term (Q4 2025): A consolidation phase is plausible after a sharp rally; profit-taking is natural around prior highs.


Medium to Long Term (2026–2027): With recurring government deals and expanding enterprise traction, Palantir remains positioned for structural growth. Sustaining above $180 would strengthen the case for a breakout toward new highs.




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✅ My view: The rally has strong fundamentals, but after a +134% YTD run, consolidation near current levels is healthy. Investors with conviction might see dips as opportunities, while momentum traders should monitor $190 resistance closely.


Palantir Secures £1.5B UK Deal: Up 134% YTD! Still Room to Run?
UK will significantly increase purchases of Palantir Technologies (PLTR) data analytics software, with the U.K. military committing over $1 billion over five years, extending an earlier deal, according to Bloomberg. Following the news, Palantir shares rose 5.1% to close at $176.97. Year-to-date, the stock is up about 134% in 2025, though it remains below its all-time high of $190 on August 12. 👉 With continued government adoption and long-term contracts, could Palantir sustain its strong 2025 rally, or is a consolidation phase likely?
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