🐯💥 “Don't Laugh at Me”The AGL Option Fiasco Every Trader Understands
Do you have losing trades? Yes, the mascot looks more depressed than me when I open my apps. I had earned many battle scars but getting lesser these days when I do AAR.
Yeah… that's me with my AGL
📍Disclaimer:⚠️ I'm not a licensed financial adviser. This post reflects my personal trading review and education only. Please do your own diligence, research and seek qualified professional advice before investing.
Every losing trade is an learning lesson, let review
😭 Act 1: The Tiger Lost His Stripes
I bought an AGL 2.5 Call, cost $0.22.
Now? Worth $0.01.
Unrealized P&L: –95%.
The app literally said “GAME OVER!” 🐯💀
Let's unpack what went wrong; not just to cry together, but to learn and laugh while we're at it.
🧠 What Is AGL Anyway?
Agilon Health (AGL) is a U.S. healthcare company trying to reinvent how doctors treat seniors through value-based care — they earn per patient, not per visit.
It's a great idea… but Wall Street doesn't pay for ideas. It pays for profits.
Here's AGL's medical chart: (See Picture)
AGL isn't a total fraud — it's just a patient in critical condition hoping the U.S. healthcare system doesn't pull the plug. ⚡
🎭 The Trade Autopsy
Here's how I managed to turn a speculative bet into a masterclass in pain:
• 🎯 Bought far OTM (2.5 strike)
I basically bet that AGL would moon. Instead, it went to Mars without me — underground.
• ⌛ Time decay (Theta)
Options don't age well. Every day they lose value like milk left in the sun. 🥛☀️
• 📉 Implied Volatility Crash
When hype dies, volatility dies — and so does your premium. RIP IV 💀
• 📪 No Catalyst
AGL had no event, no earnings pop, no PR. Just slow-motion silence.
• 💀 Liquidity Desert
When it hit $0.01, I could hear tumbleweeds rolling in the options chain.
Result? My call turned into a collector's item.
Value: sentimental only.
⚖️ Risk Lesson: Option vs. Stock
Here's the real silver lining 🪙 —
Losing on an option is still better than losing the stock itself.
👉 I only lost the premium ($0.22 × contracts).
If I had bought shares, I'd be down 90%+ on the full position — a much bigger disaster.
That's the beauty (and pain) of options:
Your risk is limited, but your timing better be sharp as a scalpel. ⏱️🧠
Options = controlled explosion.
Stocks = slow bleed.
Pick your poison.[Cry]
🩹 When (and Why) You Might Exercise a Call
Most traders never exercise options — but here's when it might actually make sense:
• The option still has intrinsic value 💰
Example: Stock is $3.50, strike is $2.50 — that’s $1 in real value.
• You plan to hold the shares long-term 📈
Exercise, take delivery, and hold if you believe in the company turnaround.
• Low liquidity / wide bid-ask 🤐
Sometimes selling the option is painful due to poor pricing.
Exercising gives you stock directly instead of selling to sharks.
But in AGL's case? There's no intrinsic value. It’s like exercising a gym membership that expired. 🏋️♂️
🧮 SWOT Check-up: AGL's Pulse
It's got potential, sure — but potential doesn't pay margin calls. 😬 See Picture
🧠 Lesson Time: How to Pick the Right Stock for Call Options
Here's what my scars taught me:
✅ 1. Choose stocks with momentum (volume), not miracles.
You want healthy uptrends, not hope stocks.
✅ 2. Earnings and catalysts matter.
No catalyst = no IV = no gains. Plan around events.
✅ 3. Watch implied volatility (IV).
Buy when IV is low, sell when IV is high.
If you do the opposite, you're donating. 💸
✅ 4. Check liquidity before you click.
Wide bid-ask spreads eat returns alive.
✅ 5. Stick to quality names.
Companies like $Amedisys(AMED)$ (Amedisys), $Acadia Healthcare(ACHC)$ (Acadia Healthcare), $Encompass Health Corporation(EHC)$ (Encompass Health) — they bleed less when the market sneezes. 🤧
📊 Peers Who Aren't in the ICU (See Picture)
These aren't guaranteed wins — but they move, they have volume, and most importantly, they survive.
💬 The Emotional Debrief
Here's what trading teaches —
Options don't just test your wallet, they test your soul. 😅
• If you lose a stock: you panic-sell.
• If you lose a call: you shrug, meme, and move on.
• If you win a call: you start researching Lamborghinis. 🏎️💨
And that's the paradox — you risk less, but feel more.
The key? Learn fast, lose small, laugh often.
🔮 Looking Ahead — Next Week’s “Call Doctor” Watchlist
The healthcare sector is due for a check-up. Inflation's cooling, yields stabilizing — and traders are sniffing for rebound plays.
📅 My “Doctor's Orders” for next week:
• Watch ACHC & AMED for earnings continuation setups.
• Use 3–4 week calls, delta 0.4–0.5 (not lottery tickets).
• Avoid calls under $0.10 unless you enjoy adrenaline and regret.
• Size small.
• Keep your “GAME OVER” meme folder ready just in case. 😜
🧘♂️ Closing Thoughts
“A wrong option is cheaper than a wrong stock —
but the lesson's price is the same if you don't learn from it.”
My AGL trade was a tuition fee in the school of volatility. 🎓
Would I do it again? Maybe.
Would I choose a better stock next time? Definitely.
Would I laugh about it? Already did. 😂
So next time your option tanks, remember —
You didn't lose everything. You just paid for market education… and earned a good story for the next meme post.
🐯✌️
@Tiger_Earnings @TigerStars @CaptainTiger @Terra_Incognita @MojoStellar @DCamel @koolgal @TigerPicks @Tiger_Academy
Comments
Great work, and I'm looking forward to reading more of your insights in the future! [Cool] [Heart] [Call] [Like] [USD]