My Take: OpenAI's AMD Talks Are a Warning Shot, Not a Sales Endorsement

HawS
10-15

Let's be clear about the potential $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$  and OpenAI partnership. This isn't about validating AMD's future sales or confirming its arrival as a true competitor. From my perspective, this is a calculated strategic move by OpenAI with a single, primary objective: ensuring $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  can't hold them ransom.

The reality is OpenAI, like the rest of the industry, is critically dependent on NVIDIA's GPUs. This single-supplier risk creates a massive vulnerability. It gives NVIDIA unchecked power over pricing, allocation, and the future AI hardware roadmap. No company, especially one with the ambitions of OpenAI, can afford to be in such a position.

By publicly exploring a partnership with AMD, OpenAI is creating a credible backup plan. It's a classic business tactic designed to generate supply chain leverage. The message to NVIDIA is simple: "You are our main partner, but you are not our only option. Your pricing and supply must remain competitive."

This move should not be viewed as a guaranteed sales win for AMD. For this threat to have teeth, AMD must still deliver hardware and a software ecosystem (ROCm) that can genuinely rival NVIDIA's CUDA platform at a massive scale. That remains a monumental task.

Therefore, this potential alliance is less about boosting AMD's bottom line and more about OpenAI's corporate self-preservation. It’s a warning shot across NVIDIA's bow and a necessary strategy to secure OpenAI's future in a market currently dominated by one player.

OpenAI Family Expanding: Is It A Blessing or A Curse?
OpenAI has been insanely busy lately — one moment it’s doing e-commerce, the next it’s getting into social, and now it’s even launching a browser. It announced plans to deploy 6GW of AMD Instinct GPUs. OpenAI went a step further and partnered with Broadcom to develop custom ASIC chips. Microsoft mainly provides OpenAI’s training compute, while Oracle handles inference workloads. Meanwhile, PayPal officially announced a partnership with OpenAI yesterday — its stock spiked but later gave back most of the gains by the close.
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Comments

  • Venus Reade
    10-16
    Venus Reade
    AMD actually has superior chiplet architecture. That architecture will scale better with AI workloads over the long run they will win the race. The surprised look on Jensen's face was priceless, he knows...Blackwell is a Kludge. Also they make the best in class CPU's, prepare for EPYC wins!

    • HawS
      yes on cpu, no for gpu.
  • Wade Shaw
    10-15
    Wade Shaw
    If NVDA drops prices more—won’t OpenAI ditch AMD talks entirely?
    • HawS
      It's not wrong to keep a spare tire. basically if openAI doesn't buy anything from AMD, no loss for both sides.
  • Phyllis Strachey
    10-15
    Phyllis Strachey
    OpenAI’s tactic works—NVDA just cut H100 prices 5% to keep them!
    • HawS
      Nice! Nvidia's profit margin is still insane.
  • Merle Ted
    10-16
    Merle Ted
    Nvidia is losing business to AMD because they cant produce more

    • HawS
      The bottleneck is on TSMC. The same will happen to AMD also.
  • Ron Anne
    10-15
    Ron Anne
    ROCm still lags CUDA by 30%—can AMD fix that fast enough?
  • keke006
    10-15
    keke006
    Interesting strategy
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