Weekly | Could $NEM’s 16% Surge Signal a New Bull Run for Gold Miners?

ASX_Stars
10-17

As of the close on Friday, $S&P/ASX 200(XJO.AU)$ closed at 8,995.30 on Friday, up 0.85% in the past 5 days.

The primary driver was a surge in the price of gold, which reached a fresh record high. This boosted investor interest in major gold producers like Newmont and Northern Star .

In addition, other reasons include:

1. $NEWMONT CORP-CDI(NEM.AU)$ +16.02%

  • NEM’s technicals are highly bullish. The 50-day SMA (~$89) and 200-day SMA (~$84) both lie below the current price, confirming the uptrend.

  • Newmont’s fundamentals are solid, with Q2 2025 EPS beating estimates, and demonstrated significant growth in operating cash flow, underpininning its financial health and shareholder returns.

  • Major institutions, including B of A Securities and Raymond James, raised their price targets for Newmont, reflecting strong confidence in the company's outlook and future earnings potential.

2. $NORTHERN STAR RESOURCES LTD(NST.AU)$ +8.32%

  • A key event was the completion of Northern Star's acquisition of De Grey Mining . This strategic move expanded its asset portfolio, adding the promising Hemi gold project in the Pilbara region .

  • Some analysts had previously identified Northern Star as a preferred stock among large gold companies, potentially replacing others as a top pick . This positive sentiment, coupled with its operational profile in Western Australia and Alaska, likely attracted investor interest .

3. $EVOLUTION MINING LTD(EVN.AU)$ +6.77%

  • The company reported a record net mine cash flow of A$366 million for the quarter, a 23% increase, and ended with a strong cash balance of A$780 million . This demonstrated financial health and reduced gearing to 11% bolstered investor confidence .

  • Analysts at Bell Potter not only maintained a "Buy" rating but also raised the price target for Evolution Mining to A$12.35, up from A$10.55 . This upgrade was based on higher gold and copper price forecasts and expectations of increased shareholder returns .

  • Evolution Mining's stock exhibited very strong market momentum, with a notable year-to-date increase of 138% . This momentum was supported by positive coverage highlighting the company's quality assets and management, which continued to attract investor interest .

4. $FORTESCUE LTD(FMG.AU)$ +5.32%

  • Iron ore prices remained robust above US$115 per tonne due to improved Chinese steel demand and economic stimulus measures, boosting revenue prospects.

  • Successful commissioning of the Arizona Green Hydrogen project and new partnerships in Germany and Japan accelerated Fortescue's energy transition strategy.

  • Multiple brokers raised price targets following better-than-expected production results and increased confidence in the company's decarbonization timeline.

  • Over the last 5 years the FMG dividend yield has averaged 10.52% per year. Aussie materials companies like FMG have developed a good reputation of being reliable dividend payers.

5. $ANZ GROUP HOLDINGS LTD(ANZ.AU)$ +5.02%

  • The bank announced its ANZ 2030 strategy and capital management measures, including stopping the remaining A$800 million share buy-back to strengthen its balance sheet.

  • Following the strategy update, Morgans raised its price target by 14% to A$32.72, signaling increased confidence in the company's direction.

  • ANZ's second-half 2025 earnings came in at the top end of guidance, demonstrating improved operational performance.

  • Positive broader market sentiment, particularly in the banking sector, created a favorable environment for ANZ shares.

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Comments

  • zippyzo
    10-22
    zippyzo
    Exciting developments
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