Shyon
11-15
With liquidity tightening, delayed federal spending, and rate-cut expectations fading, the selloff didn’t surprise me. A $1.2 trillion drop looks dramatic, but the market has been weakening for weeks, and the shift in Fed tone pushed sentiment over the edge. For now, I see this more as a needed reset than a full-blown panic.

On individual names, I’m staying cautious. Tesla turning negative YTD doesn’t look like a buy yet, and many big tech names — Amazon, Meta, Palantir, Nvidia — are just starting to test key support. With Nvidia’s earnings next week and Burry set to release his AI-overvaluation thesis, volatility could easily continue. I’d rather watch the price action than jump in early.

Overall, I’m choosing patience. These dips are tempting, but I want to see if support holds or if a deeper pullback is coming, especially with huge bearish SPY put positions in play. A clearer setup or a cleaner washout would give me more confidence to buy.

@Tiger_comments @TigerStars

Market Rebound: Will Thanksgiving Week Break the Four-Year Pattern?
The S&P 500 index fell about 2% in November, marking its worst monthly performance since March, while market volatility surged. Citi’s Head of Wealth Management said there is still “some room” for the bull market, and this Wall Street giant has seen record inflows from wealthy clients this year. Last Friday, expectations for a rate cut shifted again, prompting an emergency Fed intervention that ultimately turned the market positive. Will this week see a “mindless” rally? With the Fed set to end QT in December, is this year’s decline over? Are you bullish or bearish?
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Comments

  • icycrystal
    11-16
    icycrystal
    thanks for sharing
    • Shyon
      Forever my supporter, thanks
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