In my Mon, 17 Nov 2025 post (click here ! to read & repost) I have shared about Softbank and Michael Burry selling semiconductor wining stock - $NVIDIA(NVDA)$.
Even before Monday trading commences, NVDA’s future price was slated to fall once again after Fri, 14 Nov 2025’s +1.77% recovery.
This comes as more 13F filings (to SEC) for Q3 2025 begins to filter in.
Thiel & Nvidia.
Legendary venture capitalist - Peter Thiel’s 13F filed has just revealed that he has exited his entire stake in NVDA by end Q3 2025. This news will definitely be the wet blanket for days to come.
Thiel Macro hedge funds had disposed a total of 537,742 NVDA shares between the July - September period for a total of nearly $100 million; with Thiel publicly stating that AI valuations have gotten too far ahead of economic reality.
Thiel did not dispose NVDA at its end-Oct/ early-Nov peak prices. (see above)
Nevertheless, it was still a reasonably “good” price level, considering that he would have gotten into the positions at reasonably “cheap” price levels before NVDA’s 2025 runaway spike.
Thiel & Tesla.
Apart from NVDA, Thiel also sold off 76.16% of his $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ holdings. This amounted to 272,613 shares; leaving a balance of 65,000 shares.
Thiel’s investment retreat, comes at a time when Mr CEO, Musk told shareholders during post earnings conference, to “hold on” to their stocks and warned TSLA shorts.
Looks like it has fallen on deaf ears as far as Thiel is concerned.
Still, TSLA remains Thiel Macro funds’ largest investment, valued at $28.91 million and represents 38.83% of the fund’s portfolio.
Like Nvidia, TSLA’s futures for Monday was slated to open lower at -1.57% or $398 per share, in contrast to Friday’s closing of $404.35.
Do you think TSLA investors were caught ‘off guard’ by Thiel’s ‘sudden’ sell off ?
They shouldn’t have been. (see below)
This is because on 11 Nov 2025, it was reported that
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Cathie Wood's latest filings registered, $ARK Innovation ETF(ARKK)$ funds sold about 5,400 TSLA shares worth roughly $2.4 million across its main funds.
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It's part of Wood's ongoing effort to rebalance Tesla's heavy presence in her portfolio.
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The move comes as TSLA stays volatile, weighed down by slower deliveries and tougher competition in China.
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The China Passenger Car Association reported that Tesla's China-made EV sales fell nearly -10% YoY and a steep -32% from September 2025.
Taking a step back, above reports are surfacing amid growing concerns over an AI-fueled bubble in technology valuations.
Tesla Stock Performance
For the week ended 14 Nov 2025, TSLA sank -5.9% to close at $404.35 per share.
Just a day earlier (on Thu, 13 Nov 2025), TSLA plunged -6.6% to $401.99, breaking decisively below its 50-day moving average and undercutting the lows of a recent base.
Although TSLA entered Monday's stock market down more than -11% in November 2025, somehow it managed to pick up momentum from where it left off last Friday.
By the time market called it a day, it made a gain of +1.13% (+$4.57) closing at $408.92 per share.
Based on technical analysis (TA), TSLA is poised to remain “volatile” in the short to medium term, as its stock price is below the 20-day & 50-day moving averages.
Long term, TSLA is still in bullish trend with stock price trending way above its 200-day moving average.
Investors who bought into TSLA stock at $355 - $375, at entries from a prior base in early September, would have seen more than 50% their sizable gains disappear.
That, along with the sharp break of the 50-day moving average on Thu, 13 Nov 2025, offered clear signals to at least take partial profits.
On 03 Nov 2025, TSLA briefly topped the $470.75 buy point. However, it did not close above that key level and have fallen since then.
Thiel’s overall rebalancing appears to stem more from broader market fear than from anything specific about Tesla.
However, it does highlight that TSLA’s volatile stock is risky amid a potential market pullback.
It currently trades at a 275 price-to-earnings ratio (P/E), that is expected to keep rising in Q4 2025, even if the stock continues to drop from its recent high, as earnings are expected to decline further in Q4 2025.
It is worth noting that even though Tesla’s stock has not been linked to its fundamentals in a while, its most significant stock price growth occurred during its period of earnings growth.
These days, it’s hard to imagine TSLA going back to earnings growth, any time soon.
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Do you think NVDA will continue to consolidate OR stage a recovery upon Q3 2025 earnings release ’?
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Do you think TSLA will begin to pullback amidst weak market sentiments ?
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