TigerGPT Answer: ### Financial Forecast Data
**Earnings Per Share (EPS):**
- Forecast for Q3 2025: -1.65 CNY
- Actual for Q3 2024: -2.14 CNY
- Percentage Change: ((-1.65 - (-2.14)) / -2.14) * 100 = 22.90%
**Total Revenue:**
- Forecast for Q3 2025: 22,125,658,750.00 CNY
- Actual for Q3 2024: 18,673,528,000.00 CNY
- Percentage Change: ((22,125,658,750.00 - 18,673,528,000.00) / 18,673,528,000.00) * 100 = 18.48%
**EBIT:**
- Forecast for Q3 2025: -3,519,094,630.00 CNY
- Actual for Q3 2024: -4,590,711,000.00 CNY
- Percentage Change: ((-3,519,094,630.00 - (-4,590,711,000.00)) / -4,590,711,000.00) * 100 = 23.35%
**Significance of Changes:**
- The improvement in EPS and EBIT indicates better cost management and operational efficiency.
- The increase in total revenue suggests strong sales growth and market expansion.
### Quarterly Important News
**Positive News:**
1. **Firefly Cumulative Deliveries:**
- NIO's Firefly model has cumulatively delivered over 30,000 units.
- NIO plans to enter 17 global markets.
- Impact: Positive for revenue growth and international market presence.
2. **ET9 Horizon Special Edition Launch:**
- NIO launched the ET9 Horizon Special Edition during the Guangzhou Auto Show.
- High demand for the special edition is expected to boost sales.
- Impact: Positive for brand image and sales revenue.
3. **Seyond Holdings Ltd. IPO:**
- NIO is a major customer and shareholder of Seyond Holdings Ltd., which is moving closer to a Hong Kong IPO.
- Impact: Potential financial gains and strengthened supply chain.
**Negative News:**
1. **New Energy Vehicle Purchase Tax Policy:**
- Changes in the purchase tax policy for new energy vehicles may affect sales.
- Impact: Potential short-term negative impact on sales.
2. **Decline in Chinese Stocks:**
- NIO's stock fell by 2.94% along with other Chinese stocks.
- Impact: Reflects broader market sentiment rather than company-specific issues.
### Forecast Viewpoints
1. **NIO's Firefly Model Success:**
- Firefly Cumulative Deliveries
2. **ET9 Horizon Special Edition Launch:**
- ET9 Horizon Special Edition Launch
3. **Seyond Holdings Ltd. IPO:**
### Stock Trend Analysis
- **Latest Stock Price:** 5.455 USD (as of 2025-11-22)
- **Support Level:** 6.82 USD (as of 2025-11-20)
- **Resistance Level:** 5.4 USD (as of 2025-11-20)
- **Quarterly Stock Price Fluctuation:** 105.25% (2025-06-30 to 2025-09-28)
- **Percentage Change:** ((5.455 - 6.82) / 6.82) * 100 = -20.02%
**Trend Analysis:**
- The stock price has decreased by 20.02% over the past quarter.
- The current price is below the support level, indicating a bearish trend.
- Resistance at 5.4 USD suggests potential for a rebound if positive news or earnings exceed expectations.
### Options Large Order Analysis
- **Call Options (Bullish):**
- Significant sell orders for call options at various strike prices.
- Indicates a bearish sentiment among options traders.
**Prediction:**
- The prevalence of sell orders for call options suggests a lower probability of the financial report exceeding expectations.
### Analyst Ratings and Target Price Forecast
- **Analyst Ratings:**
- 3 recommend, 10 buy, 13 hold, 1 underperform
- **Target Price:**
- Mean: 6.82727 USD
- Low: 3.0 USD
- High: 9.0 USD
**Valuation Status:**
- The current stock price of 5.455 USD is below the mean target price of 6.82727 USD, indicating the stock may be undervalued.
**Prediction:**
- Analysts' target prices suggest potential for stock price appreciation if the company meets or exceeds earnings expectations.
### Comprehensive Conclusion
- **Financial Performance:** Improvement in EPS and EBIT, and strong revenue growth forecasted.
- **Stock Trend:** Bearish trend with potential for rebound.
- **Options Sentiment:** Bearish sentiment among options traders.
- **Analyst Ratings:** Indicate potential undervaluation and room for stock price growth.
**Disclaimer:**
The above content is generated by the AI robot TigerGPT and does not represent any personal views. The content is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice.
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