MHh
11-23
Although there is a drop in the market, I don’t think this is the time to add. Market response has been mainly towards rate cut expectations and have ignored that fundamentally, the labour market remains strong and economic data have not suggested impending recession. Many of the companies have delivered earnings that beat expectations. The pullback has been painful but not big enough for me to add positions. I prefer to stay calm in this time and continue to watch the macroeconomic situation. The current valuation of most stocks are near historical ranges where they are neither too expensive to be considered a bubble but also not cheap enough for me to consider adding positions. I would need to wait for another 5-10% pullback before adding. I believe once the panic settles, there will actually be many dip buyers who will prop up the market as many have been watching on the sidelines watching the market going up and up the previous weeks.
Market Rebound: Will Thanksgiving Week Break the Four-Year Pattern?
The S&P 500 index fell about 2% in November, marking its worst monthly performance since March, while market volatility surged. Citi’s Head of Wealth Management said there is still “some room” for the bull market, and this Wall Street giant has seen record inflows from wealthy clients this year. Last Friday, expectations for a rate cut shifted again, prompting an emergency Fed intervention that ultimately turned the market positive. Will this week see a “mindless” rally? With the Fed set to end QT in December, is this year’s decline over? Are you bullish or bearish?
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Comments

  • MR_Wu
    11-24
    MR_Wu
    Hold tight, macro's the key now. Let the panic settle first [吃瓜]
    • MHh
      Indeed![ShakeHands]
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