Markets Pause as Fed Decision Looms

Tiger V
12-09 09:27

Overview: Cautious Sentiment Returns


Global markets turned defensive as investors stepped back ahead of the US Federal Reserve’s final policy meeting of the year. US equities ended lower, Europe traded mixed, and Asia showed divergence with China rebounding while Hong Kong lagged. The dominant theme remains policy uncertainty and selective risk-taking.


United States: Pre-Fed Profit Taking


US stocks retreated as traders locked in gains before the Fed announcement. The Dow Jones$DJIA(.DJI)$   fell 0.5% to 47,739, while the S&P 500$S&P 500(.SPX)$   slipped 0.4% to 6,846. Defensive positioning suggests investors expect critical guidance on rates and economic growth.


Europe: Directionless Trading


European markets lacked momentum with investors awaiting US cues. Germany’s DAX edged up 0.1%, while France’s CAC 40 dipped 0.1% and the UK’s FTSE 100 declined 0.2%, reflecting cautious cross-border sentiment.


Asia: Mixed Signals


Asian markets were uneven as China’s data lifted mainland sentiment but failed to support Hong Kong. Shanghai gained 0.5%, Nikkei rose 0.2%, but Hang Seng $HSI(HSI)$  dropped sharply by 1.2%.


Outlook & Insights


Short-term volatility is likely as markets react to the Fed’s tone. Any hint of prolonged high rates could pressure equities, while dovish signals may reignite risk appetite, particularly in US tech and China-linked plays.


Conclusion


Markets are in wait-and-see mode. Investors should stay nimble, focus on quality assets, and prepare for post-Fed opportunities as policy clarity emerges. 

Cut 25bps, But Hawkish in 2026: Will Market Pullback Last?
Fed lowered fund rate from 3.75%–4.00% to 3.50%–3.75%, marking the sixth rate cut since last year and the third meeting-based cut this year. The newly released Dot Plot reveals wide disagreement among the 19 voting and non-voting officials regarding the 2026 rate path: 7 officials expect no further cuts in 2026. Others project cumulative cuts of 25, 50, 75, 100, or even 150 basis points. Despite the dispersion, the median still points to just one 25-bp cut in 2026. So—hawkish or dovish? What’s your take on this rate cut? And do you think risk assets can continue to rise from here?
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