Carvana Falls 3.6% Will $440 Support Hold

Trend_Radar
12-15 19:29

$Carvana Co.(CVNA)$

Carvana Co. (CVNA) Drops -3.61%: Used Car Giant Hits Resistance at New 52-Week High $485, Profit-Taking Emerges

Latest Close Data

CVNA closed at $455.68 on December 15th, down -3.61% (-$17.05) from previous close of $472.73.

Stock touched new 52-week high of $485.33 before retreating, currently trading 6.1% below intraday peak.

Core Market Drivers

Used car market facing seasonal headwinds as year-end inventory adjustments weigh on momentum.

Strong institutional buying ($1.07B large block inflows) suggests continued confidence despite profit-taking pressure.

Holiday shopping season shifting consumer spending away from big-ticket purchases temporarily.

Technical Analysis

  • Volume at 6.21M shares (0.98x ratio) indicates normal trading activity.

  • RSI(6) cooled to 74.33 from overbought 95+ levels, signaling healthy pullback.

  • MACD remains bullish with DIF at 33.77 above DEA 22.37, though momentum slightly weakening from recent peaks.

Key Price Levels

  • Primary Support: $318.67 (strong demand zone)

  • Immediate Pivot: $467.67 (recent resistance turned support)

  • Strong Resistance: $485.33 (new 52-week high)

Valuation Perspective

Trading at P/E 113.48x (TTM) vs Forward P/E 88.08x, indicating growth expectations.

P/S ratio 5.43x remains elevated for auto retail sector but justified by digital transformation story and improving margins (ROE: 68.15%).

Analyst Targets

24 analysts maintain average target of $430.92 (range: $330-$550).

Strong institutional backing: 8 Strong Buy, 11 Buy, 6 Hold, 1 Underperform. Current price trades 5.8% above consensus target, suggesting near-term caution warranted.

Weekly Outlook

Expect consolidation between $440-$480 range as stock digests recent gains.

Break above $485 targets $520-$550 zone. Key support failure below $440 could trigger deeper correction toward $400 psychological level.

Risk Disclaimer

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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