I just pulled the trigger on Microsoft (MSFT) x1 at $471.85.
📉 The Setup: Technical Precision & Valuation Gap
Microsoft has pulled back from its recent highs, and we are stepping in right as the technicals align with the fundamentals.
200-Day Moving Average Support: We are currently trading right near the 200-day SMA ($474) and a massive psychological support zone around $470–$472.
Earnings Multiplier: MSFT is trading at a forward P/E of ~30.5x. For a company growing its net income at a 17-18% CAGR and sitting on a trillion-dollar cloud engine, it is considered objectively low compared to its 2024 peaks of 38x.
🚀 The Catalyst: The Azure + OpenAI Powerhouse
Microsoft isn't just a software company; they are the infrastructure of the AI era.
Azure's Unmatched Scale: Azure continues to steal market share, with revenue growth accelerating as enterprises move from AI "testing" to full-scale deployment.
The OpenAI Engine: The partnership is deeper than ever. Microsoft's exclusive IP rights to OpenAI models mean that every time a developer builds on GPT, Microsoft gets paid. 🤖🏗️
The "Agentic" Era: With the launch of Azure Copilot agents, Microsoft is turning every office worker into a high-efficiency machine. This "SaaS+AI" moat combo seems to be doing pretty well.
💡 Final Verdict
Microsoft is generating a significant amount of cash flow per quarter, and the price level feels acceptable for me currently. Finally decided to pull the trigger to DCA 1 more share of MSFT at $471.85 into my long term portfolio with cash profits generated from Options trading.
Trade Safe, Tiger Friends! [666]
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