Ethan 港美澳实盘
01-08 09:45

🔥🚀 Elon Musk sets the timeline straight: FSD competition is years, not months, away


Elon Musk made a point that cuts through a lot of short-term noise around autonomy.


According to Elon, FSD moving from “initially usable” to “far safer than humans” takes years.

But that is only half of the equation.


For traditional automakers, the real bottleneck comes after the software works.


They still need to:

integrate massive AI hardware into vehicles

redesign production lines

retool factories

and then scale that architecture across millions of cars


That process takes even longer.


Put together, Elon’s conclusion is clear:

meaningful competitive pressure on FSD does not emerge for at least 5–6 years.


This is not a software gap.

It is a systems gap.


Most legacy OEMs optimized for mechanical platforms and supplier-based architectures.

They were never designed to absorb rapid, compute-heavy AI evolution without massive friction.


$TSLA, by contrast, was built around vertical integration from day one.


Hardware, software, chips, manufacturing, data collection, and deployment all move under a single control loop.


And the advantage compounds further when you factor in Elon’s broader ecosystem.


Energy infrastructure

AI training systems

manufacturing automation

robotics

and cross-company engineering talent


All of this feeds back into cost structure.


Not just lower bill-of-materials costs, but lower iteration costs.

Lower delay costs.

Lower coordination costs.


That is why $TSLA can afford to push FSD forward aggressively while others hesitate.


They are not just building a feature.

They are running an integrated autonomy factory.


So the debate is not:

“Who launches autonomy first?”


The real question is:

who can survive the multi-year climb from usable autonomy to overwhelmingly safer than humans — at global scale — without their cost base breaking?


If Elon is right about the 5–6 year window, the competitive landscape may already be structurally decided long before most people realize it.


📮Tracking how $TSLA’s vertical integration and ecosystem translate into long-term autonomy dominance — before the gap shows up clearly in financials.


#TSLA #Tesla #ElonMusk #FSD #AutonomousDriving #AI #SelfDrivingCars

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