CandlesForBreakfast
01-10
Markets are quietly telling two stories at once: the labor data is cooling just enough to keep the Fed cautious, while capital is still sprinting toward AI infrastructure where demand is structural, not cyclical. Near term, geopolitics and rates drive volatility; long term, compute, storage, and energy efficiency decide the winners. January strength looks less like speculation and more like positioning for where growth is actually being built.
Tesla All-In on AI! Optimus Gen 3 Coming, the Right Bet?
Tesla (TSLA) reported a pivotal Q4: revenue fell 3% YoY—its first annual decline—yet EPS beat expectations, gross margin rebounded above 20%, and energy storage deployments hit a record 14.2 GWh (+29%). Operationally, Tesla is accelerating its AI roadmap: unsupervised Robotaxi trials began in Austin, Cybercab, Semi, and Megapack 3 are set for production this year, and Optimus aims to enter mass production by year-end. Management guided >$20B capex in 2026 Can Robotaxi and Optimus timelines materially change Tesla’s earnings narrative in 2026?
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