[Stock Prediction] How will NFLX close on Wed, Jan 21, following their earnings?

Tiger_Earnings
01-19 20:52

$Netflix(NFLX)$ will post its Q4 FY2025 results after market close on Tue, Jan 20, 2026. Wall Street is watching one thing: can Netflix keep the Q3 momentum going—especially as the story shifts from “subscriber adds” to monetization (pricing + ads) and engagement?

Earnings Highlights

1) Ads take center stage:Consensus expects ad revenue around $1.08B this quarter. What matters most is management commentary on ad-tier adoption + monetization (ad load, demand, pricing power) — because ads are now a key pillar of the “next chapter” Netflix narrative.

2) Margins & free cash flow = “quality of earnings”:Street expectations point to stronger profitability: revenue $11.97B (+16.8% YoY), net income $2.39B (+27.7% YoY), EPS $0.55 (+29.4% YoY). If operating margin expands again and free cash flow stays strong, it supports buybacks and reinforces sustainable profit growth.

3) Engagement + content pipeline still matter:Q4 is typically a strong quarter for viewing. Investors will look for signs that holiday engagement held up, and that price increases didn’t meaningfully hurt retention—plus any signal that the content slate continues to defend Netflix’s moat in a tougher streaming landscape.

🎁Events Details

What do you think will happen after the earnings?

  • 💬 Comment below with your predicted closing price on Jan 21 (in USD, two decimal places).

  • 📈 Are you bullish or bearish on $Netflix(NFLX)$ ? Tell us why!

🎁 Prizes

  • Anyone who guesses the exact closing price will share 888 Tiger Coins.

  • We’ll also pick a lucky Tiger to get 100 Tiger Coins

⏰Event Duration

  • Jan 19 –Jan 21, 04:00 PM SGT

Netflix Q4 Ahead: Monetization Wins Or Deal Overhang?
Netflix will report Q4 2025 earnings on Jan 21, after U.S. markets close, with expectations pointing to strong financial momentum. Revenue is forecast at $11.97B (+16.8% YoY), net income at $2.39B (+27.7%), and EPS up nearly 30%, driven increasingly by advertising and engagement rather than subscriber adds. The proposed acquisition of WBD continues to weigh on valuation amid leverage, regulatory, and legal concerns. Can Netflix’s monetization and ad momentum offset deal-related valuation pressure? Would an all-cash WBD bid improve certainty or worsen balance sheet risk?
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Comments

  • icycrystal
    01-19 21:49
    icycrystal
    I predict the closing price around $91.20 [Thinking] [Thinking] [Thinking]

    I am cautiously bullish on Netflix for the long term, but anticipate potential short-term volatility. The company's strategic shift towards profitability, margin expansion, and a diverse revenue model (ad-supported tiers, password sharing crackdown) positions it strongly against competitors. The massive global scale and consistent investment in original content provide a competitive moat.

  • highhand
    01-19 23:40
    highhand
    bearish. daily chart under 20 moving average. weekly and monthly looks like going lower too with no support
  • WonderElephant
    01-19 21:24
    WonderElephant
    $81.08 is my guess!
  • Chrishust
    03:31
    Chrishust
    $Netflix(NFLX)$ share price close 89.95
  • 逆天邪神云澈
    08:14
    逆天邪神云澈
    my guess is 93.88
  • Juju710
    02:49
    Juju710
    My guess is 89.99
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