​📉 The Setup: The Post-Earnings Flush & Technical Floor

​The market is currently punishing Microsoft for "only" growing Azure at 37% and increasing Capex. For us, that means we get to buy a world-class compounder at a 20% discount from its highs.

​Support Sniper: The $425–$435 zone is a relatively good support area. We are currently sitting right at the "flush bids" level where smart money accumulates after a temporary earnings miss. 🛡️

​P/E Compression: At $433, MSFT is trading at a forward P/E of ~29x. Considering it's forecast to grow EPS by 15–20% in 2026, we are buying this growth at a PEG ratio that is significantly more attractive than it was just 48 hours ago. 📉✅

​Oversold Bounce: The stock dropped nearly 10% in a single session. On a titan like Microsoft, an RSI move toward the "oversold" 30-level usually precedes a violent recovery to the mean.

​🚀 The Catalyst: The AI Infrastructure "Flywheel"

The fundamental story for MSFT is that it is actually strengthening:

​Azure's AI Contribution: AI services now contribute a massive 16+ points to Azure's growth. Even if the "base" cloud business stabilizes, the AI-driven workloads are scaling faster than any other segment in tech history. 🤖🏗️

​M365 Copilot Adoption: Satya Nadella just confirmed 15 million paid subscriptions for Copilot. We are moving from the "hype phase" to the "billing phase," and the high-margin recurring revenue is about to hit the bottom line. 📱💰

​The "Capex" Moat: High spending on data centers isn't a "risk", it's a barrier to entry. Microsoft is building a physical moat that competitors like Salesforce or Oracle simply cannot match. They are spending now to own the next decade.

​💡 Final Verdict

​The market is obsessing over a slight margin dip due to AI investments, but I know that investment = future dominance.

Invest Safe, Tiger Friends! [666]