Precious Metals 2-4 week buy the dip opportunity due to Chinese New Year & USA tax refunds.

Global Contrarian
02-04

Given the sell off in precious metals I believe there is a sweet spot now where we will see synchronised buying increase from both Chinese and USA households:


1) Chinese New Year is approaching and this is where buying typically spikes, alongside local premiums.


This may occur against already elevated Shanghai vs London/international exchange premiums.

In short, Chinese premiums suck more metal into China, driving international prices higher. See attached charts.


2) The One Big Beautiful Bill tax refunds in the USA will begin to hit individual accounts as early as end of this week, so from next week, we should see increased buying in USA, alongside China for 1-2 weeks.


SLV US and GLD US both appealing alongaide out of the money calls, up to end of March to capitalize upon this trend.$iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$  $SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$  

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