Trading Highlights
Based on the comprehensive data analysis, the following key trend correlations are identified:
Strong bearish technical confirmation
MACD histogram has consistently deteriorated (-8.6908 by 2026-02-05), RSI(6) entered oversold territory (11.8871), and KDJ shows sustained downward momentum (K=12.35, D=16.10).
High correlation with weakening price momentum.
Elevated put option hedging activity
Significant block trades in deep OTM puts (e.g., $400 strike PUTs with $188M notional value) and skewed IV/HV ratios (e.g., 2.02 for $113 CALL) indicate institutional downside protection.
Medium-high correlation with bearish sentiment.
Contradictory capital flow signals
Net outflows dominated 3 of 5 days (-$60.4M peak outflow), but recent inflows ($24.1M and $9.7M) suggest volatile positioning.
Low-medium correlation with directional conviction due to inconsistency.
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