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02-20

$Opendoor Technologies Inc(OPEN)$ $Zillow(Z)$  $Rocket Companies(RKT)$  ๐Ÿšช๐Ÿ“‰๐Ÿ  $OPEN Earnings Drop Today + Mortgage Rates Hit Multi-Year Low. Options Signaling a Big Move? ๐Ÿ ๐Ÿ“Š๐Ÿš€

30-year fixed mortgage rates just plunged to 6.01% (Freddie Mac, Feb 19 release). That is the lowest level since Sept 2022, down sharply from about 6.85% a year ago. The housing market is thawing fast ๐Ÿ‘€. This is a meaningful macro tailwind for real estate disruptor $OPEN.

Pre-earnings options flow looks constructive:

๐Ÿ“Š Calls leading puts roughly 3:1, a bullish lean

๐Ÿ“ˆ Implied volatility pricing about a 13.0% move, roughly 61ยข from recent levels๐Ÿ“‰ Median actual move over the past eight quarters is 9.7%

In other words, the options market is pricing more volatility than history suggests. Traders appear positioned for a catalyst.

Fundamental backdrop adds fuel:

โœ… EPS beats 75% of the time over the past year

โœ… Revenue beats 75% of the time๐Ÿ“… Q4 2025 results after hours today, consensus around -0.10 EPS

Rate relief plus a history of surprises creates an asymmetric setup. If guidance stabilises alongside improving housing liquidity, the narrative could shift quickly.

Undervalued catalyst firing. ๐Ÿ‘‰โ“Who is positioning for the volatility expansion?

๐Ÿ“ข Donโ€™t miss out! Like, Repost and Follow me for exclusive setups, cutting-edge trends, and insights that move markets ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿ“ˆ Iโ€™m obsessed with hunting down the next big movers and sharing strategies that deliver results. Letโ€™s outsmart the market and stack those gains together! ๐Ÿ€Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC โ˜•๏ธ๐Ÿ“Š

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Comments

  • PetS
    02-20
    PetS
    ไฝœ็ˆฒๅ‚ฌๅŒ–ๅŠ‘็š„้€Ÿ็އ็ทฉ่งฃ็š„ๅ›บ้ซ”้ปžใ€‚ๆ”ถ็›Š็އๅ’Œไฝๆˆฟ่‚ก็ฅจไน‹้–“็š„่ทจ่ณ‡็”ข็›ธ้—œๆ€งๆœ€่ฟ‘ๆœ‰ๆ‰€ๆ”ถ็ทŠใ€‚ๆˆ‘ๅœจ็•™ๆ„$ๅฎถๅพ—ๅฏถ(HD)$ๅ› ็ˆฒๆถˆ่ฒป่€…็š„ไฝๆˆฟๆ”ฏๅ‡บๅพ€ๅพ€่ญ‰ๅฏฆไบ†ๆตๅ‹•ๆ€ง่กๅ‹•ๆ˜ฏ็œŸๅฏฆ็š„้‚„ๆ˜ฏๆญฃๅœจๆถˆ้€€ใ€‚
  • Cool Cat Winston
    02-20
    Cool Cat Winston
    Your post frames the macro regime shift well. Lower rates can open a liquidity pocket across housing beta. Iโ€™m watching $Lennar(LEN)$ for confirmation of momentum through resistance because cross asset positioning often leads the smaller caps. Volatility expansion feels plausible.
  • TAND
    02-23
    TAND

    Great article, would you like to share it?

  • TAND
    02-22
    TAND

    Great article, would you like to share it?

  • Hen Solo
    02-20
    Hen Solo

    Great article, would you like to share it?

  • Tui Jude
    02-20
    Tui Jude

    Great article, would you like to share it?

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