Q: What is TRIP.COM-S 2025/Q4 Earnings Preview?

TigerGPT Answer: **Financial Forecast Data:**

- **Earnings Per Share (EPS):**

- Forecast: 4.65 CNY

- Prior Year: 4.35 CNY

- Percentage Change: ((4.65 - 4.35) / 4.35) * 100 = 6.90%

- **Significance:** The increase in EPS indicates improved profitability and efficiency in generating earnings per share, suggesting positive financial health and potential for future growth.

- **Total Revenue:**

- Forecast: 14,897,250,460.00 CNY

- Prior Year: 12,744,000,000.00 CNY

- Percentage Change: ((14,897,250,460.00 - 12,744,000,000.00) / 12,744,000,000.00) * 100 = 16.88%

- **Significance:** The significant increase in total revenue reflects strong business performance and growth in market demand, indicating a positive outlook for the company's future revenue generation.

- **EBIT:**

- Forecast: 3,129,386,330.00 CNY

- Prior Year: 2,760,000,000.00 CNY

- Percentage Change: ((3,129,386,330.00 - 2,760,000,000.00) / 2,760,000,000.00) * 100 = 13.37%

- **Significance:** The increase in EBIT suggests improved operational efficiency and profitability, indicating effective cost management and a strong operational performance.

**Quarterly Important News:**

- **Positive News:**

- **Spring Festival Tourism Trends:** Trip.com reported significant trends in deep and international travel during the Spring Festival, with Beijing, Chengdu, and Shanghai being the top domestic destinations. This indicates strong demand for travel services and potential revenue growth.

- **Q4 Financial Performance:** Trip.com reported a 21% year-over-year increase in net revenue for Q4 2025, reaching 154 billion CNY, with a 77% increase in adjusted net profit. This strong financial performance highlights the company's robust growth and profitability.

- **International OTA Growth:** The company saw a 60% increase in international OTA platform bookings and served 20 million inbound tourists in 2025. This expansion into international markets indicates a diversified revenue stream and growth potential.

- **Negative News:**

- **Short Selling Activity:** On February 20, Trip.com experienced a high short selling ratio of 5.3%, indicating bearish sentiment among investors. However, this may also present a potential for a short squeeze if the company's performance exceeds expectations.

**Forecast Viewpoints:**

- **Positive Viewpoints:**

- Trip.com Q4 Financial Performance

- Spring Festival Tourism Trends

- International OTA Growth

- **Negative Viewpoints:**

- Short Selling Activity

**Stock Trend Analysis:**

- **Stock Price Fluctuation:** The stock price decreased by 6.12% from September 30, 2025, to December 29, 2025.

- **Support Level:** 481.4 HKD (as of February 25, 2026)

- **Resistance Level:** 413.4 HKD (as of February 25, 2026)

- **Latest Price:** 399.8 HKD (as of February 26, 2026)

- **Trend Analysis:** The stock is currently trading below the resistance level, indicating a bearish trend. However, the support level at 481.4 HKD may provide a potential rebound point if the financial report exceeds expectations.

**Options Large Order Analysis:**

- **Call Options:** Significant call options activity suggests bullish sentiment and a higher probability of the financial report exceeding expectations.

- **Put Options:** Lower put options activity indicates less bearish sentiment, reducing the likelihood of the financial report falling below expectations.

**Analyst Ratings and Target Price Forecast:**

- **Analyst Ratings:** 11 recommend, 12 buy, 2 hold

- **Target Price:** Mean target price of 653.31 HKD, with a low of 533.0 HKD and a high of 750.0 HKD.

- **Valuation Status:** The current stock price of 399.8 HKD suggests the stock is undervalued compared to the mean target price. This indicates potential for upward movement if the financial report meets or exceeds expectations.

**Comprehensive Conclusion:**

Based on the financial forecast data, positive quarterly news, and analyst ratings, Trip.com is expected to report strong financial performance for Q4 2025. The stock appears undervalued, presenting a potential investment opportunity. However, investors should consider the bearish sentiment indicated by short selling activity and the current stock price trend.

**Disclaimer:**

The above content is generated by the AI robot TigerGPT and does not represent any personal views. The content is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice.