Historical patterns show S&P 500 drawdowns averaging 18% in the year before midterms, with extremes from 7% to 42%.
Meanwhile, Salesforce’s $50B buyback had little impact, emphasizing that markets reward growth and ROIC over headlines.
NVIDIA continues its dramatic selloff, leaving bulls disappointed.
1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$
2026 Warning 🚨:
Going back to 1926, the S&P 500 has seen an average drawdown of 18.2% in the 12 months before midterm elections 📉
Going back 60 years, the smallest drawdown has been 7.4% while the largest was 41.8% 🤯
After the midterms, all is well, but before? 🤔👀
2. $Salesforce.com(CRM)$
Salesforce announces a $50B buyback. The stock falls. Dine Brands leans into capital return. The stock rises.
Buybacks don’t move stocks. Expectations do.
Markets price growth, durability, and ROIC, not headlines.
Why Salesforce’s $50 Billion Buyback Didn’t Save The Stock
3. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$
And it's gone! Thanks for nothing Nvidia $NVDA 😂
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