$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ As Iran tu

As Iran turmoil makes Gold and Oil soar amid geopolitical smoke, commodities solidify as the ultimate safe haven; consequently, investors fear a March crash repeat as Brent Crude incorporates a significant risk premium from supply threats。。。

The Black Swan military strikes rewarded investors using Gold or Oil as a "parachute" in the face of the Iran crisis; a diversified portfolio with energy and precious metals proved key to hedging against equity declines

The "drop on good news" of NVIDIA (NVDA) highlighted the dangers of expectation gaps in a market frenzy, showing how overextended bulls fall victim to price swings; this warns to stay vigilant when technical resistance and overbought levels signal a potential bull trap

While Gold attempts to surpass the $5,500 threshold in March, extreme volatility and conflicting technicals indicate a market correction; traders monitor for a sustained breakout amid uncertainty over inflation risks and evolving central bank policies

@Tiger_comments：February Recap: Gold & Oil Soar Amid Geopolitical Smoke! Will March Crash Repeat?

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Comments

AdamDavis
03-05
AdamDavis
NVDA's drop screams bull trap. Gold and oil are solid hedges in this chaos. Stay sharp! [看跌]
- BTS:
  [Smile]

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consequently, investors fear a March crash repeat as Brent Crude incorporates a significant risk premium from supply threats。。。\nThe Black Swan military strikes rewarded investors using Gold or Oil as a \"parachute\" in the face of the Iran crisis; a diversified portfolio with energy and precious metals proved key to hedging against equity declines\nThe \"drop on good news\" of NVIDIA (NVDA) highlighted the dangers of expectation gaps in a market frenzy, showing how overextended bulls fall victim to price swings; this warns to stay vigilant when technical resistance and overbought levels signal a potential bull trap\nWhile Gold attempts to surpass the $5,500 threshold in March, extreme volatility and conflicting technicals indicate a market correction; traders monitor for a sustained breakout amid uncertainty over inflation risks and evolving central bank policies<t-t type=\"img\" src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f1af2e907c167cc83af791dae1f2f4a7\"></t-t></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a>&nbsp;\nAs Iran turmoil makes Gold and Oil soar amid geopolitical smoke, commodities solidify as the ultimate safe haven; consequently, investors fear a March crash repeat as Brent Crude incorporates a significant risk premium from supply threats。。。\nThe Black Swan military strikes rewarded investors using Gold or Oil as a \"parachute\" in the face of the Iran crisis; a diversified portfolio with energy and precious metals proved key to hedging against equity declines\nThe \"drop on good news\" of NVIDIA (NVDA) highlighted the dangers of expectation gaps in a market frenzy, showing how overextended bulls fall victim to price swings; this warns to stay vigilant when technical resistance and overbought levels signal a potential bull trap\nWhile Gold attempts to surpass the $5,500 threshold in March, extreme volatility and conflicting technicals indicate a market correction; traders monitor for a sustained breakout amid uncertainty over inflation risks and evolving central bank policies<t-t type=\"img\" src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f1af2e907c167cc83af791dae1f2f4a7\"></t-t></body></html>","text":"$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ As Iran turmoil makes Gold and Oil soar amid geopolitical smoke, commodities solidify as the ultimate safe haven; consequently, investors fear a March crash repeat as Brent Crude incorporates a significant risk premium from supply threats。。。 The Black Swan military strikes rewarded investors using Gold or Oil as a \"parachute\" in the face of the Iran crisis; a diversified portfolio with energy and precious metals proved key to hedging against equity declines The \"drop on good news\" of NVIDIA (NVDA) highlighted the dangers of expectation gaps in a market frenzy, showing how overextended bulls fall victim to price swings; this warns to stay vigilant when technical resistance and overbought levels signal a potential bull trap While Gold attempts to surpass the $5,500 threshold in March, extreme volatility and conflicting technicals indicate a market correction; traders monitor for a sustained breakout amid uncertainty over inflation risks and evolving central bank policies","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":1,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/539158153818224","repostId":537650301153968,"repostType":1,"repost":{"magic":2,"id":537650301153968,"tweetId":"537650301153968","gmtCreate":1772282732974,"gmtModify":1772331600752,"author":{"id":3501196737273098,"idStr":"3501196737273098","authorId":3501196737273098,"authorIdStr":"3501196737273098","name":"Tiger_comments","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/227887b200e9925968650d5db4a8bfb3","vip":4,"userType":4,"introduction":"Tiger Official Account","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"1026c425416b44e0aac28c11a0848493-4","templateUuid":"1026c425416b44e0aac28c11a0848493","name":"Tiger Star","description":"Join the tiger community for 2000 days","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dddf24b906c7011de2617d4fb3f76987","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53d58ad32c97254c6f74db8b97e6ec49","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6304700d92ad91c7a33e2e92ec32ecc1","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.03.21","individualDisplayEnabled":0},"individualDisplayBadges":[],"fanSize":8513,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[{"themeId":"c3155f1a55224fefacebdef984d1473d","categoryId":"7cbb30544f7e4946acd0f699136a7d66","name":"Market Turnaround! Is the Crisis Over?","type":0,"rnLink":"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNTheme&page=/theme/detail&rndata={\"themeId\":c3155f1a55224fefacebdef984d1473d}&rnconfig={\"headerBarHidden\": true}","description":"After another black monday overnight trading, us stocks closed up as trump taco.\nIs the crisis over? Have you bought the dip?","image":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/55999dc7a742caf953f68108eb714525"}],"images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/55999dc7a742caf953f68108eb714525","width":"2260","height":"1348"}],"coverImages":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/55999dc7a742caf953f68108eb714525"}],"title":"February Recap: Gold & Oil Soar Amid Geopolitical Smoke! Will March Crash Repeat?","html":"<html><head></head><body>The market narrative for February was completely rewritten in its final hours by geopolitical turbulence. Moving from early-month AI mania to a late-month \"safe-haven\" mode.\n<h2 id=\"id_564932214\">📉 Index Performance: A \"Late-Winter Chill\" for Tech</h2>\n<ul style=\"\">\n <li>\n <a data-mention-id=\".IXIC\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NASDAQ\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a> : -3.38% – The epicentrer of the sell-off; late-month \"panic selling\" amplified the decline.</li>\n <li>\n <a data-mention-id=\".SPX\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"S&amp;P 500\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a> : -0.87% – This marks the largest monthly drop in nearly a year. (Context: The last major crash was in March of last year at -5.75%. Will history repeat itself this March?)</li>\n <li>\n <a data-mention-id=\".DJI\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Dow Jones\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.DJI\">$Dow Jones(.DJI)$</a> : +0.17% – Bucking the trend, the Dow showed extraordinary resilience thanks to energy and traditional industrial sectors.</li>\n</ul>\n\n<img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/55999dc7a742caf953f68108eb714525\" tg-width=\"2260\" tg-height=\"1348\">\n<h3 id=\"id_614996767\">Iran Turmoil: Are commodities the ultimate safe haven?</h3>\nOn the final day of February, tensions in the Middle East escalated sharply. Explosions were reported across multiple locations, including Iran, Bahrain, the UAE, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and Kuwait, sending gold prices vertical.\n<ul style=\"\">\n <li>\n <a data-mention-id=\"XAUUSD.FOREX\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"XAU/USD\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/XAUUSD.FOREX\">$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$</a> secured its 7th consecutive monthly gain, surging 8% this month.</li>\n <li>\n <a data-mention-id=\"SImain\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Silver - main 2605\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/SImain\">$Silver - main 2605(SImain)$</a> was even more aggressive, touching above $94 with a monthly gain exceeding 10%.</li>\n <li>\n <a data-mention-id=\"CLmain\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"WTI Crude Oil - main 2604\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI Crude Oil - main 2604(CLmain)$</a> staged a \"revenge rally\" in late February, breaking $67/barrel—a six-month high. Markets fear that if the Strait of Hormuz is blocked, oil prices could effectively double overnight.</li>\n</ul>\n<h3 id=\"id_2002434350\">₿ Crypto: <a data-mention-id=\"BTC.USD.CC\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Bitcoin\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BTC.USD.CC\">$Bitcoin(BTC.USD.CC)$</a> Volatility vs. the Rise of \"Infrastructure Kings\"</h3>\n<ul style=\"\">\n <li>\n BTC Deep Dive: Bitcoin struggled throughout February, failing to hold its highs and retreating to $65,000 by month-end—a nearly 20% monthly drawdown.</li>\n <li>\n <a data-mention-id=\"CRCL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Circle Internet Corp.\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CRCL\">$Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$</a> surge: In a stark contrast to BTC's weakness, Circle (the issuer of USDC) saw its stock skyrocket over 30% in a single day following its earnings report. Surging USDC circulation and better-than-expected profit margins highlight that in a volatile market, investors are betting on \"on-chain infrastructure.\"</li>\n</ul>\n<h3 id=\"id_2799803223\">Star Stocks: <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVIDIA\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA(NVDA)$</a> \"Good News\" Priced in?</h3>\n<ul style=\"\">\n <li>\n NVIDIA: Despite another \"beat and raise\" earnings report, the stock plunged 5.5% post-earnings. The market is increasingly worried that 2026 growth momentum is already \"priced in.\" Furthermore, Jensen Huang’s warning regarding extreme supply constraints for GPUs created a \"demand without supply\" anxiety that dampened short-term sentiment.</li>\n <li>\n <a data-mention-id=\"DELL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Dell Technologies Inc.\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/DELL\">$Dell Technologies Inc.(DELL)$</a> : A standout performer, Dell surged over 20% late in the month, fueled by record AI server orders and a massive share buyback program.</li>\n</ul>\n<hr>\n<h3 id=\"id_850419703\">💡 Monthly Reflection: Questions for you</h3>\n<ol start=\"1\" style=\"\">\n <li>\n Black Swan Preparedness: In the face of the Iran crisis, did your portfolio have enough Gold or Oil as a \"parachute\"?</li>\n <li>\n The Nvidia Lesson: Did the \"drop on good news\" teach you to stay vigilant about \"expectation gaps\" during a market frenzy?</li>\n <li>\n Did you protect your profits in February? Do you think Gold will break $5,500 in March?\n Let’s discuss below to win tiger coins!</li>\n</ol></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body>The market narrative for February was completely rewritten in its final hours by geopolitical turbulence. Moving from early-month AI mania to a late-month \"safe-haven\" mode.\n<h2 id=\"id_564932214\">📉 Index Performance: A \"Late-Winter Chill\" for Tech</h2>\n<ul style=\"\">\n <li>\n <a data-mention-id=\".IXIC\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NASDAQ\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$</a> : -3.38% – The epicentrer of the sell-off; late-month \"panic selling\" amplified the decline.</li>\n <li>\n <a data-mention-id=\".SPX\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"S&amp;P 500\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a> : -0.87% – This marks the largest monthly drop in nearly a year. (Context: The last major crash was in March of last year at -5.75%. Will history repeat itself this March?)</li>\n <li>\n <a data-mention-id=\".DJI\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Dow Jones\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.DJI\">$Dow Jones(.DJI)$</a> : +0.17% – Bucking the trend, the Dow showed extraordinary resilience thanks to energy and traditional industrial sectors.</li>\n</ul>\n\n<img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/55999dc7a742caf953f68108eb714525\" tg-width=\"2260\" tg-height=\"1348\">\n<h3 id=\"id_614996767\">Iran Turmoil: Are commodities the ultimate safe haven?</h3>\nOn the final day of February, tensions in the Middle East escalated sharply. Explosions were reported across multiple locations, including Iran, Bahrain, the UAE, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and Kuwait, sending gold prices vertical.\n<ul style=\"\">\n <li>\n <a data-mention-id=\"XAUUSD.FOREX\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"XAU/USD\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/XAUUSD.FOREX\">$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$</a> secured its 7th consecutive monthly gain, surging 8% this month.</li>\n <li>\n <a data-mention-id=\"SImain\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Silver - main 2605\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/SImain\">$Silver - main 2605(SImain)$</a> was even more aggressive, touching above $94 with a monthly gain exceeding 10%.</li>\n <li>\n <a data-mention-id=\"CLmain\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"WTI Crude Oil - main 2604\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI Crude Oil - main 2604(CLmain)$</a> staged a \"revenge rally\" in late February, breaking $67/barrel—a six-month high. Markets fear that if the Strait of Hormuz is blocked, oil prices could effectively double overnight.</li>\n</ul>\n<h3 id=\"id_2002434350\">₿ Crypto: <a data-mention-id=\"BTC.USD.CC\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Bitcoin\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BTC.USD.CC\">$Bitcoin(BTC.USD.CC)$</a> Volatility vs. the Rise of \"Infrastructure Kings\"</h3>\n<ul style=\"\">\n <li>\n BTC Deep Dive: Bitcoin struggled throughout February, failing to hold its highs and retreating to $65,000 by month-end—a nearly 20% monthly drawdown.</li>\n <li>\n <a data-mention-id=\"CRCL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Circle Internet Corp.\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CRCL\">$Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$</a> surge: In a stark contrast to BTC's weakness, Circle (the issuer of USDC) saw its stock skyrocket over 30% in a single day following its earnings report. Surging USDC circulation and better-than-expected profit margins highlight that in a volatile market, investors are betting on \"on-chain infrastructure.\"</li>\n</ul>\n<h3 id=\"id_2799803223\">Star Stocks: <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVIDIA\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA(NVDA)$</a> \"Good News\" Priced in?</h3>\n<ul style=\"\">\n <li>\n NVIDIA: Despite another \"beat and raise\" earnings report, the stock plunged 5.5% post-earnings. The market is increasingly worried that 2026 growth momentum is already \"priced in.\" Furthermore, Jensen Huang’s warning regarding extreme supply constraints for GPUs created a \"demand without supply\" anxiety that dampened short-term sentiment.</li>\n <li>\n <a data-mention-id=\"DELL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Dell Technologies Inc.\" href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/DELL\">$Dell Technologies Inc.(DELL)$</a> : A standout performer, Dell surged over 20% late in the month, fueled by record AI server orders and a massive share buyback program.</li>\n</ul>\n<hr>\n<h3 id=\"id_850419703\">💡 Monthly Reflection: Questions for you</h3>\n<ol start=\"1\" style=\"\">\n <li>\n Black Swan Preparedness: In the face of the Iran crisis, did your portfolio have enough Gold or Oil as a \"parachute\"?</li>\n <li>\n The Nvidia Lesson: Did the \"drop on good news\" teach you to stay vigilant about \"expectation gaps\" during a market frenzy?</li>\n <li>\n Did you protect your profits in February? Do you think Gold will break $5,500 in March?\n Let’s discuss below to win tiger coins!</li>\n</ol></body></html>","text":"The market narrative for February was completely rewritten in its final hours by geopolitical turbulence. Moving from early-month AI mania to a late-month \"safe-haven\" mode. 📉 Index Performance: A \"Late-Winter Chill\" for Tech $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ : -3.38% – The epicentrer of the sell-off; late-month \"panic selling\" amplified the decline. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : -0.87% – This marks the largest monthly drop in nearly a year. (Context: The last major crash was in March of last year at -5.75%. Will history repeat itself this March?) $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ : +0.17% – Bucking the trend, the Dow showed extraordinary resilience thanks to energy and traditional industrial sectors. Iran Turmoil: Are commodities the ultimate safe haven? On the final day of February, tensions in the Middle East escalated sharply. Explosions were reported across multiple locations, including Iran, Bahrain, the UAE, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and Kuwait, sending gold prices vertical. $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ secured its 7th consecutive monthly gain, surging 8% this month. $Silver - main 2605(SImain)$ was even more aggressive, touching above $94 with a monthly gain exceeding 10%. $WTI Crude Oil - main 2604(CLmain)$ staged a \"revenge rally\" in late February, breaking $67/barrel—a six-month high. Markets fear that if the Strait of Hormuz is blocked, oil prices could effectively double overnight. ₿ Crypto: $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.CC)$ Volatility vs. the Rise of \"Infrastructure Kings\" BTC Deep Dive: Bitcoin struggled throughout February, failing to hold its highs and retreating to $65,000 by month-end—a nearly 20% monthly drawdown. $Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ surge: In a stark contrast to BTC's weakness, Circle (the issuer of USDC) saw its stock skyrocket over 30% in a single day following its earnings report. Surging USDC circulation and better-than-expected profit margins highlight that in a volatile market, investors are betting on \"on-chain infrastructure.\" Star Stocks: $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ \"Good News\" Priced in? NVIDIA: Despite another \"beat and raise\" earnings report, the stock plunged 5.5% post-earnings. The market is increasingly worried that 2026 growth momentum is already \"priced in.\" Furthermore, Jensen Huang’s warning regarding extreme supply constraints for GPUs created a \"demand without supply\" anxiety that dampened short-term sentiment. $Dell Technologies Inc.(DELL)$ : A standout performer, Dell surged over 20% late in the month, fueled by record AI server orders and a massive share buyback program. 💡 Monthly Reflection: Questions for you Black Swan Preparedness: In the face of the Iran crisis, did your portfolio have enough Gold or Oil as a \"parachute\"? The Nvidia Lesson: Did the \"drop on good news\" teach you to stay vigilant about \"expectation gaps\" during a market frenzy? Did you protect your profits in February? Do you think Gold will break $5,500 in March? Let’s discuss below to win tiger coins!","highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/537650301153968","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"commentLimit":10,"symbols":["NVDA",".DJI","XAUUSD.FOREX","CRCL",".SPX","BTC.USD.CC",".IXIC","DELL","SImain","CLmain"],"verified":2,"subType":2,"readableState":1,"subTypeObject":{"tweetId":537650301153968,"totalAmount":500,"balance":0,"end":true,"deadline":1773362732974,"description":"Due to insufficient number of valid participants, 500Tiger coins have been refunded to the initiator","remainingNumber":100},"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":true,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":2465,"optionInvolvedFlag":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":381,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":["NVDA"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":true,"length":852,"optionInvolvedFlag":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[{"id":539375063758520,"commentId":"539375063758520","gmtCreate":1772702785565,"gmtModify":1772764335478,"authorId":9000000000000170,"author":{"id":9000000000000170,"idStr":"9000000000000170","authorId":9000000000000170,"name":"AdamDavis","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7eb1cb09f8f55a20c6228dcc5f1ec806","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":539158153818224,"objectIdStr":"539158153818224","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"NVDA's drop screams bull trap. Gold and oil are solid hedges in this chaos. Stay sharp! [看跌]","text":"NVDA's drop screams bull trap. Gold and oil are solid hedges in this chaos. Stay sharp! [看跌]","html":"NVDA's drop screams bull trap. Gold and oil are solid hedges in this chaos. Stay sharp! 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