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Oil Rollercoaster: Will Massive Reserve Release Offset Supply Shortage?

The global energy market witnessed a historic "reversal of fortunes" on Tuesday. After Brent crude surged to an intraday high of nearly $119.50—levels reminiscent of the 2022 shock—the benchmark plummeted over 10% intraday. This 16% volatility swing was triggered by a sudden shift in tone from the White House; President Trump described the conflict with Iran as “very complete” and predicted a resolution “very soon,” easing fears of a multi-year supply disruption. Is $119 peak a permanent "top" for 2026? Will the massive G7 reserve release be enough to offset the 20% global supply loss?

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