CPF 4% vs EPF 6.15% | Why Your Wallet Is Shrinking In Ringgit | 🦖EP1548
The 6.30% EPF headline is not a yield — it is a currency risk premium you are being paid to ignore. Strip out the 2.6% average annual MYR depreciation against the SGD and your S$100,000 earns roughly 3.7% net in real spending power, before accounting for the equity volatility the EPF engine requires to hit that number at all. The CPF Special Account pays 4.0%, guaranteed, with zero refinancing exposure and zero currency drag. That is not a consolation prize. That is the forensic winner.
In a 5,000-point STI era where the 1.37% T-Bill sets the risk-free floor, the 3.2% Forensic Floor is the minimum I require before any asset earns a place in a retirement portfolio. A cross-border yield that nets below that floor after currency adjustment does not clear the hurdle — it just carries more risk for less reward. Capital protection is not a conservative preference. It is the only rational starting point.
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