Tech Up 79%, Banks Down 8.5% | SGX Weekly Movers & Shakers 26 Apr | 🦖EP1572
The market sees an 80% tech rally, but the math sees your CPF and SRS subsidising balance sheets that still fail a 4.7% hurdle and 3.2% Forensic Floor. When Nanofilm spikes and iFAST bleeds in the same week, the STI headline looks “risk‑on”, yet the cashflows backing your dividends are shifting from fortress platforms into capex‑hungry stories. My stance is simple: I will enjoy the signal, but I will not let S$100,000 of retirement capital chase it blindly.
In a 5,000‑point STI world, the real question is not whether growth is back, but whether you are still being paid enough for the risk you are taking when T‑bills yield about 1.37% and my forensic floor stays locked at 3.2%. The 4.7% hurdle is not a slogan; it is the minimum spread that justifies leaving CPF‑like safety and stepping into listed risk. If your current holdings cannot clear that bar on yield and coverage, the “tech comeback” is just noise distracting you from silent drawdown risk on your income engine.
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