- Underlying: HUM
- View: Cautiously Bullish (Short-term overbought, potential for consolidation with upside bias towards $285-$300 zone).
- Strategy Type: Debit Spread / Directional Bullish
- Option Contract Portfolio:
- Buy 1 HUM Jun 18 2026 $275 Call
- Sell 1 HUM Jun 18 2026 $285 Call
- Max Gain & Loss: Max Gain = $1,000 (($285 - $275) * 100) - Net Debit. Max Loss = Net Debit Paid.
- Initial Cost/Credit: Debit of ~$2.50 (Estimated from chain: Buy $275C @ $5.55, Sell $285C @ $2.575). Net Debit โ $2.50/share ($250 per spread).
- Greek Exposure (Simulated):
- Delta: +0.35 (Positive, directional bullish exposure).
- Theta: -0.02 (Slightly negative, but lower than a long call alone due to short leg).
- Vega: +0.10 (Positive but low, minor benefit from IV increase).
- Gamma: 0.02
- Rho: +0.01
- Rationale: The stock is overbought (RSI 91.88) but has strong bullish momentum from earnings. This strategy is optimal as it provides defined risk bullish exposure. It capitalizes on a continued move towards $285 while capping upside at $285 to reduce cost. The net debit is low relative to the $10-wide strikes, offering a favorable risk/reward (max gain ~$750, max loss $250). The positive Delta aligns with the bullish view, while the negative Theta is minimized, and low Vega exposure mitigates risk from the elevated IV (44.21%).
- Time Frame: Short-Term to Mid-Term (to June 18 expiry).
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