Adz5150
05-15

BABA is getting more interesting to me here.

The market loves the AI capex story, but eventually the question becomes whether all that spending can actually translate into revenue growth that matters.

That’s the part I’m watching most.

It’s easy to get excited when companies talk bigger AI numbers. 

It’s harder to know when that spending starts showing up clearly enough in the business to justify a rerating.

I think BABA has more upside if execution follows the narrative.

But if the market stops rewarding AI promises and starts demanding cleaner proof, this could stay choppy.

Do you think BABA is building a real new AI growth story, or is the market getting ahead of itself again?

Alibaba AI ARR to Exceed ¥30Bln! Can Capex Convert to Revenue Growth?
Alibaba jumped 8.2% as the Q4 earnings call quote "not a single GPU sits idle". Despite non-GAAP net income of just $86M for the quarter, markets are pricing the forward curve of AI ARR surpassing $30B by year-end and capex exceeding 380B yuan. How do you see it, and is the current level still worth chasing? The only real question for whether this story holds: can the ¥380 billion capex be converted into revenue growth on time? Do you believe in Alibaba’s transformation, and is this a good price to add to your position?
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