Lanceljx
05-16 12:56

I would not chase aggressively at these levels. NVIDIA is still fundamentally dominant, but the setup into earnings is becoming dangerously consensus-heavy.


The bull case is obvious: Blackwell demand remains extreme, inference demand is accelerating, and Wall Street keeps lifting targets toward $300+. Analysts expect roughly $78-79B revenue with another major beat likely. 


But expectations are now almost perfection-priced. NVDA has rallied ~20% in a month into earnings, and markets are already pricing a very high probability of a beat. 


My base case:


Earnings likely beat


Guidance likely strong


Initial reaction could still be volatile or even “sell the news”



$235 is psychologically important. A clean hold probably opens $250 quickly due to momentum and options positioning. But if earnings/guidance are merely “great” instead of “spectacular,” a sharp pullback toward $215-220 would not surprise me.


So personally:


Long term: still bullish


Short term: prefer adding on weakness rather than chasing vertical momentum into print.

NVDA All-Time High, PT Raised: Take Profits or Buy Before Earnings?
Nvidia surged 4.39% to a new all-time high, while Cerebras soared 68% on its IPO debut, validating AI inference chip demand. The $235 level is the key near-term pivot — a hold points to the $250 round-number target. Institutional bulls and bears are sharply divided at current levels. Will you chase the rally now, or wait for a pullback? What are your expectations for Nvidia's earnings next week?
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