I would not treat Trump’s portfolio as a signal. With thousands of trades, it reflects high turnover and mandate-driven execution, not conviction.
The hardware tilt is directionally right but late. AI bottlenecks still sit in chips and networking, benefiting names like NVIDIA and Broadcom. However, much of that upside is already priced in.
On Morgan Stanley SPX 8300 vs Shiller P/E ~42: earnings growth is real, but expectations are stretched.
View:
Not a full bubble yet
Early excess forming
Upside remains but fragile
Focus on selectivity, not broad chasing.
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