The civilisation story is powerful, but it is not a valuation anchor. With Tesla, investors are paying for optionality, not just EV earnings.
A three-digit P/E only works if autonomy or robotics unlock step-change profits. Without that, the multiple is stretched. The “Elon premium” tied to Elon Musk reflects execution history, but also amplifies downside when timelines slip.
The Mars-linked compensation signals commitment, especially alongside SpaceX, but it is symbolic, not a near-term revenue driver.
So it comes down to belief vs timing. If autonomy lands, today’s price may still be early. If it delays, valuation compresses fast. Sensible stance: respect the vision, but wait for proof before chasing.
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