Markets see roughly a 40% prob-To The Moon - Tiger Brokers Online Investing Community - To The Moon

Markets see roughly a 40% probability of the Fed hiking rates at its December meeting, up sharply from just 3% at the June meeting according to CME FedWatch. (CBS News) Fed funds futures traders are pricing in zero rate cuts for the remainder of 2026. (CNBC)

The Fed's April minutes revealed a central bank split on inflation, with a majority signaling a rate hike could be necessary if the Middle East conflict continues driving prices higher — despite holding rates steady at 3.50–3.75%. (U.S. News & World Report)

Warsh complicates this further. He was widely expected to champion rate cuts, but instead faces pressure from oil above $100/barrel and shelter inflation that doubled in April — forcing markets to consider hike scenarios instead of easing.

QQQ Slips 0.3% Monday — Why Didn't Crashing Oil Prices Save Tech?

QQQ fell 0.31% Monday in a rare divergence: U.S.-Iran peace expectations sent oil prices sharply lower and lifted the Dow, yet AI capex concerns and stretched valuations continued to weigh on Nasdaq tech. This week brings the Fed rate decision alongside Mag-7 earnings from Microsoft, Amazon, and Apple, intensifying scrutiny over AI monetization. One institution bluntly called this 'not a normal sector rotation.' With macro tailwinds and tech headwinds pulling in opposite directions, how does this consolidation resolve?

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

We need your insight to fill this gap

Leave a comment

2

{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":569556053902056,"tweetId":"569556053902056","gmtCreate":1780057980817,"gmtModify":1780061036660,"author":{"id":3559232375600013,"idStr":"3559232375600013","authorId":3559232375600013,"authorIdStr":"3559232375600013","name":"EliteEquity","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c65aeec1a83bab05edc89f87b187017e","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b073a07f77dbe6b3bec6b12311fde6bd","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"44212b71d0be4ec88898348dbe882e03-3","templateUuid":"44212b71d0be4ec88898348dbe882e03","name":"President Tiger","description":"The transaction amount of the securities account reaches $1,000,000","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbeac6bb240db7da8b972e5183d050ba","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/436cdf80292b99f0a992e78750ac4e3a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/506a259a7b456f037592c3b23c779599","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.29","exceedPercentage":"93.10%","individualDisplayEnabled":0},"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[{"badgeId":"44212b71d0be4ec88898348dbe882e03-3","name":"President Tiger","description":"The transaction amount of the securities account reaches $1,000,000","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/436cdf80292b99f0a992e78750ac4e3a","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbeac6bb240db7da8b972e5183d050ba","isScarce":0,"effectEnabled":0,"redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":0,"redirectLinkValidityTo":9223372036854776000},{"badgeId":"7a9f168ff73447fe856ed6c938b61789-1","name":"Knowledgeable Investor","description":"Traded more than 10 stocks","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","isScarce":0,"effectEnabled":0,"redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":0,"redirectLinkValidityTo":9223372036854776000},{"badgeId":"1026c425416b44e0aac28c11a0848493-4","name":"Tiger Star","description":"Join the tiger community for 2000 days","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53d58ad32c97254c6f74db8b97e6ec49","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dddf24b906c7011de2617d4fb3f76987","isScarce":0,"effectEnabled":0,"redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":0,"redirectLinkValidityTo":9223372036854776000}],"fanSize":31,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[{"themeId":"21b77238479740f99cdaa393def5ea54","categoryId":"7a15628ce2174325bddc6229505e0d70","name":"QQQ Slips 0.3% Monday — Why Didn't Crashing Oil Prices Save Tech?","type":0,"rnLink":"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNTheme&page=/theme/detail&rndata={\"themeId\":21b77238479740f99cdaa393def5ea54}&rnconfig={\"headerBarHidden\": true}","description":"QQQ fell 0.31% Monday in a rare divergence: U.S.-Iran peace expectations sent oil prices sharply lower and lifted the Dow, yet AI capex concerns and stretched valuations continued to weigh on Nasdaq tech. This week brings the Fed rate decision alongside Mag-7 earnings from Microsoft, Amazon, and Apple, intensifying scrutiny over AI monetization. One institution bluntly called this 'not a normal sector rotation.' With macro tailwinds and tech headwinds pulling in opposite directions, how does this consolidation resolve?","image":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5bbdce0c3859b57aa6bde24d88d8f427"}],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"title":"","html":"<html><head></head><body><p>Markets see roughly a 40% probability of the Fed hiking rates at its December meeting, up sharply from just 3% at the June meeting according to CME FedWatch. (CBS News) Fed funds futures traders are pricing in zero rate cuts for the remainder of 2026. (CNBC)</p>\n<p>The Fed's April minutes revealed a central bank split on inflation, with a majority signaling a rate hike could be necessary if the Middle East conflict continues driving prices higher — despite holding rates steady at 3.50–3.75%. (U.S. News &amp; World Report)</p>\n<p>Warsh complicates this further. He was widely expected to champion rate cuts, but instead faces pressure from oil above $100/barrel and shelter inflation that doubled in April — forcing markets to consider hike scenarios instead of easing.</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>Markets see roughly a 40% probability of the Fed hiking rates at its December meeting, up sharply from just 3% at the June meeting according to CME FedWatch. (CBS News) Fed funds futures traders are pricing in zero rate cuts for the remainder of 2026. (CNBC)</p>\n<p>The Fed's April minutes revealed a central bank split on inflation, with a majority signaling a rate hike could be necessary if the Middle East conflict continues driving prices higher — despite holding rates steady at 3.50–3.75%. (U.S. News &amp; World Report)</p>\n<p>Warsh complicates this further. He was widely expected to champion rate cuts, but instead faces pressure from oil above $100/barrel and shelter inflation that doubled in April — forcing markets to consider hike scenarios instead of easing.</p></body></html>","text":"Markets see roughly a 40% probability of the Fed hiking rates at its December meeting, up sharply from just 3% at the June meeting according to CME FedWatch. (CBS News) Fed funds futures traders are pricing in zero rate cuts for the remainder of 2026. (CNBC) The Fed's April minutes revealed a central bank split on inflation, with a majority signaling a rate hike could be necessary if the Middle East conflict continues driving prices higher — despite holding rates steady at 3.50–3.75%. (U.S. News & World Report) Warsh complicates this further. He was widely expected to champion rate cuts, but instead faces pressure from oil above $100/barrel and shelter inflation that doubled in April — forcing markets to consider hike scenarios instead of easing.","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/569556053902056","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":762,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":632,"optionInvolvedFlag":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/569556053902056"}