Interesting disconnect between the bullish 8000 S&P target and the weakening macro data. If payrolls come in near 60k and consumer spending keeps slowing, earnings growth expectations may need to be revised lower. The AI capex cycle is still supporting markets, but eventually investors will want to see productivity gains translate into revenue and profits rather than just spending.
Brent, WTI Both Top $100 — Can U.S. Stocks Hold Until CPI Cools?
Oil did the damage: Houthi forces took the Red Sea port of Mukha and moved on Bab-el-Mandeb, and Brent and WTI both cleared $100. QQQ −1.06%, SPY −0.60%, S&P −0.58%; among megacaps only Google rose, +0.61%, against Meta −1.42% and Tesla −1.16%. August PPI +0.4% MoM and 5.4% YoY beat 5.3% and accelerated from 4.7%, but core held at 0.2% and 4.6% — diesel alone jumped 24.1%. Markets briefly priced a full October hike. CPI lands 20:30 Beijing, consensus 0.4% headline, 0.2% core. Energy inflation rarely moves policy; $100 oil is a cost that stays. Trim tech first, or hedge with energy and gold?
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