Lanceljx
13:02

A $1.3 trillion wipeout is dramatic, but it does not automatically mean the AI investment thesis is broken. To me, this looks like a valuation reset rather than a fundamental collapse.


The key issue is that semiconductor stocks had become one of the most crowded trades in the market. When strong payroll data pushes rate-cut expectations further out, high-multiple growth stocks are usually the first to be repriced.


As for the SpaceX IPO, it could temporarily divert capital and attention, especially from speculative AI and space-related names. However, liquidity shifts tend to be short-term, while earnings and cash flow ultimately drive long-term returns.


My framework: • If you are overexposed to AI and semis, trimming risk is reasonable. • If you missed the rally and have a multi-year horizon, corrections are often when the best opportunities emerge. • Focus on companies with proven earnings and AI demand rather than chasing the most speculative names.


The biggest mistake is usually reacting emotionally. Panic selling after a sharp drop and FOMO buying after a sharp rally are two sides of the same coin. Whether this is a buying opportunity depends less on today's headline loss and more on whether AI spending and earnings growth remain intact over the next 2-3 years. If they do, this may eventually be remembered as a healthy correction rather than the end of the AI bull market.

Market Crashes, Price in Rate Hikes? When to Start Picking up Chips?
US chip companies lost roughly $1.3 trillion in market cap in one day. The crash is essentially "crowded AI hardware trade + interest rate repricing + overstretched semiconductor expectations." Friday's non-farm payrolls delivered another blow: 172,000 new jobs added in May, clearly beating expectations, unemployment rate holding at 4.3%, hourly wages up 3.4%yoy. Rate-cut expectations back down. On top of this, the SpaceX IPO will siphon off hundreds of billions in liquidity. With this crash, will you panic and head for the exit, or treat it as a chance to get on board?
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