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06-14

🔥 Market Update: The Triple Threat Hammering Tech & Semis

The market just hit a massive wall, and the latest rebound attempt has officially failed.

Here is the brutal scorecard from the latest session:

Nasdaq: Fell another 2%.

Semiconductors (3x ETF): Plunged a staggering 10.43%.

Nvidia & Broadcom: Dropped 3.73% and slid 5.12%, respectively.

The selloff isn't just daily noise; it is being driven by three simultaneous pressures actively weighing on the markets:

🌍 1. Geopolitical Flashpoints: Renewed U.S.-Iran tensions in the Strait of Hormuz are introducing severe macro uncertainty into the system.

📈 2. Sticky Inflation: Hotter-than-expected inflation data is effectively dimming any remaining hopes for near-term rate cuts.

🤖 3. The AI Reality Check: Oracle's aggressive post-earnings selloff is actively stoking fears across the tech sector regarding the actual returns on massive AI spending.  

The Strategy Moving Forward

With geopolitics, interest rates, and AI valuations all pressing down at the exact same time, market participants face a critical juncture. Investors must actively decide their strategy: whether to step aside to manage risk or to keep buying the dip. Navigate this volatility with strict risk management and a clear structural plan.

A Dove Breaks Fed Hawk Chorus — Can S&P's Best Day in a Month Survive Tonight's Jobs Report?
Waller broke weeks of hawkish pressure: he backs holding rates while progress toward 2% continues. Hike odds this month fell 70% to 50%, the 10-year 4.81% to 4.74%. S&P +1.06%, Dow +614 points, best day in a month: Microsoft +2.68%, Meta +3.01%. Ease the pressure and the priciest assets bounce first. But this dove is on loan: the range is still 3.50–3.75%, three members backed a hike in July, and September 16 is live. Tonight's payrolls decide: consensus +56,000 after July's −23,000, and hourly earnings at +3.0% is what matters. Call peak rates before the data, or trust only the hold?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • Mess0M
    06-15
    Mess0M
    SOXL down 10.43% is the real punch. I trimmed Nvidia yesterday — buying dips gets expensive fast. Who’s actually adding semis here?
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