$Intel(INTC)$ When should you sell Intel? For a true long-term investor, it might be sometime around 2030, when the company has achieved a couple of key milestones.
First, its IFS business completely turns around to become one of the most critical infrastructure companies globally, supplying over 40% of the world's chip production after multiple geopolitical shifts. The standalone valuation for IFS alone is roughly around $3 trillion.
Second, Intel's products become increasingly dominant in agentic and physical AI, with its CPUs orchestrating 30% of the physical, agentic AI market. The standalone valuation for the product division is around $4 trillion.
Combined, that's a $7 trillion valuation, or about $1,400 per share at the current share count.
Now, that's not to say Intel wouldn't be a good investment at a $7 trillion market cap. It's just that there might be better growth opportunities elsewhere by that time.

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