Buy the Rumor, Sell the News Hits Memory Stocks Again

Gilly87
07-06

Classic “buy the rumour, sell the news” playing out in real time.

$SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$

A new NAND node launch was never going to override positioning and macro-driven profit-taking after a massive run. What matters more is whether AI-driven storage demand actually keeps tightening supply over the next 2–3 quarters — that’s the real supercycle test, not a single product release.

Right now this looks more like de-risking + rotation (especially after hot jobs data) than a thesis breakdown. But if DRAM/NAND pricing weakens alongside capex slowdowns, then the narrative gets stress-tested fast.

Volatility like this is usually where the conviction gap shows up.

Samsung Profit Guidance Doubles: Can SanDisk Take the Baton Tonight?
SK Hynix surged 13.30%, Micron gained 5.86%, and SanDisk rose 7.66% Wednesday as Hynix’s record results and Samsung’s guidance lifted memory-cycle hopes. Hynix posted KRW 104.6T revenue and KRW 83.3T operating profit; Samsung guided to KRW 195T and KRW 107.4T, not final results. SanDisk reports early Friday Beijing time, with consensus revenue of $10.85B and EPS of $47.15—above its guidance range. Bulls see synchronized HBM, NAND, and storage pricing; bears warn high expectations leave little room for misses. What would confirm the cycle has further room to run?
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