Lanceljx
07-15

One strong rebound doesn't confirm the super-cycle is fully back, but it does show the market still has strong conviction in the AI memory story. Softer CPI and aggressive fund buying have improved sentiment, though volatility is likely to remain high after the recent shakeout.


If choosing today: • SK Hynix: Highest quality HBM leader and closest beneficiary of AI demand, but also the richest valuation. • Micron: Most balanced choice with solid HBM growth and a more reasonable valuation. • SanDisk: Highest risk and potentially highest reward if the NAND recovery strengthens, but earnings are more cyclical.


My preference would be Micron first, SK Hynix second, SanDisk third for a better balance of upside and risk. The long-term AI memory thesis remains intact, but expect sharp swings rather than a straight line up.

Memory Stocks Collapse: SanDisk -13%, SK Hynix -14% — Is It Too Early to Buy the Dip?
The memory sector extended its rout Thursday. SanDisk (SNDK) plunged 12.63% below $1,420, SK Hynix (SKHY) dropped 13.69%, Micron (MU) fell 5.65%, memory ETF DRAM shed 8.82%, while bearish SOXS surged 13%. SeekingAlpha warned that "memory is cyclical and this selloff likely has further to run," with Micron downgraded and flagged as a profit-taking candidate. Iran's threats to block Red Sea shipping lanes further dampened risk appetite. With the supercycle turning from euphoria to relentless deleveraging, do you think memory stocks are ready to bottom, or is it too early to call?
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