atehpengaday
08-01

The 3.3% QQQ rebound catalyzed by strong Microsoft earnings and cooling June core PCE at 3.3% demonstrates that resilient fundamental AI revenue and solid tech balance sheets can snap losing streaks and provide a strong market floor. However, with market skepticism toward Fed policy remaining high until concrete rate cuts materialize, and August historically bringing seasonal light volume volatility, this rally is unlikely to be a smooth upward march. Investors should view this as an earnings driven relief bounce rather than a full structural regime shift, using short term strength to stay selective and keep dry powder ready for potential late summer pullbacks.

Markets Rebound Day After Rate Hike — What's Driving the Rally?
Stocks took back Wednesday's Fed day and more: QQQ +1.73% to $716.92, SPY +1.13% to $762.60, the S&P 500 +1.14% to 7,637.76, against Wednesday's 0.45% decline. The lift came from outside the Fed. Weekly jobless claims unexpectedly fell, which says the labor market is not cooling the way the rate path assumes, and oil kept sliding, easing inflation pressure. Yields fell and megacap tech led. The uncertainty everyone waited on is behind the market now. But the dot plot still points to one more hike this year, and only the hike already delivered is in the price. What is the market betting on?
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