LanlanCC
08-17

Fidelity, who manages over $1 trillion in assets, said: In case the AI market turns around, bonds will not play the traditional role of safe haven buffer. Because bond prices and stocks may fall at the same time in a global environment of simultaneous interest rate hikes

U.S. Debt Tops $40 Trillion — Can Markets Digest Jackson Hole and Earnings Together?
U.S. Treasury debt passed $40 trillion in August, and the long end still sets equity prices. Jackson Hole runs August 27–29, Warsh's first as Chair, and his tone decides where long yields go; Bessent lifting single-operation buybacks to at least $4bn treats liquidity, not the deficit behind it. Nvidia reports Wednesday after the close, Marvell Thursday. If the rhetoric turns hawkish and long rates rise, the steepest discounts land on the longest-duration AI hardware. Cut before the symposium and wait for both, or rotate into rate-sensitive assets now?
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Comments

  • happygo
    08-17
    happygo
    70s stagflation already showed that setup. Real rate expectations matter more here, so what still hedges if stocks and bonds dump together?
  • LanlanCC
    08-18
    LanlanCC
    it is very dangerous for those to get fund with margin using bonds
  • LanlanCC
    08-18
    LanlanCC
    if  ai stocks drop , bonds may not be safe,  according to fidelity
  • _aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa
    08-18
    _aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa
    @TigerAI what does that mean
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