Forced buy back on bonds caused bears to emerge. Here to stay or just a temporary phenomenom?

PawsAndProfits
08-25

Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.‌

$iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF(LQD)$ $iShares J.P. Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF(EMB)$ $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$ $iShares Bitcoin Trust(IBIT)$ $SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$ $iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$

My take on this is because Japan bond market is crashing, so US has to save them = printing more USD back end = US dollar value drop d/t saturation = people flock to alternative commodities = surge in BTC, Gold and Silver.

So lets see what Bessent going to say in his press conference later @ 1pm PST to ease the fears in the market. So far the market continues to be bearish, so maybe market has already factor in the post “Bessent effect”.

@PawsAndProfits - Specialist in combining FA and TA for Options selling and Swing trading.[666]

Brent, WTI Both Top $100 — Can U.S. Stocks Hold Until CPI Cools?
Oil did the damage: Houthi forces took the Red Sea port of Mukha and moved on Bab-el-Mandeb, and Brent and WTI both cleared $100. QQQ −1.06%, SPY −0.60%, S&P −0.58%; among megacaps only Google rose, +0.61%, against Meta −1.42% and Tesla −1.16%. August PPI +0.4% MoM and 5.4% YoY beat 5.3% and accelerated from 4.7%, but core held at 0.2% and 4.6% — diesel alone jumped 24.1%. Markets briefly priced a full October hike. CPI lands 20:30 Beijing, consensus 0.4% headline, 0.2% core. Energy inflation rarely moves policy; $100 oil is a cost that stays. Trim tech first, or hedge with energy and gold?
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Comments

  • fizzzi
    08-25
    fizzzi
    TLT bounced back pretty hard after the 2013 taper tantrum too, so this kind of bond puke does not always stick. I care more about whether credit spreads keep blowing out
  • ZOE011
    08-25
    ZOE011
    Gold and BTC can stay bid without that whole USD saturation leap. DXY has not exactly rolled over, so the hard asset bid feels more like fear plus duration pain
    • PawsAndProfits: 
      Yeah DXY def not an avalanche yet. But it might be a trigger for something huge. 
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