$Texas Instruments(TXN)$
$Texas Instruments(TXN) +0.88% Defends $260 Pivot, MACD Bottoming Signals Mean Reversion Toward $290
Latest Close Data π TXN closed at $260.91 (+0.88%) on Sep 1, 2026, still -21.9% below 52-week high of $334.03. Intraday range: $259.96β$262.38. Volume: 5.76M (Volume Ratio 1.10).
Core Market Drivers π° Semiconductor complex remains under pressure, but TXN showed relative strength. Q2 revenue of $5.46B grew 23% YoY; automotive and AI data-center analog demand continues to support fundamentals. Macro semiconductor sentiment stabilized after broad sell-off.
Technical Analysis π Volume Ratio 1.10 signals mild accumulation. MACD: DIF -6.84, DEA -5.62, Histogram -2.44 β still bearish but narrowing for four sessions, indicating downside momentum fading. RSI(6) 39.50, RSI(12) 39.81 β recovering from oversold 33.30 on Aug 27 without yet reaching neutral 50. KDJ K/D/J: 22.34/21.42/24.19, low-level cluster with J leading upward, supporting short-term stabilization.
Key Price Levels π―
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Primary Support: $203.56 (prior swing low, Aug 31)
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Immediate Pivot: $260.91 (closing defense line)
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Strong Resistance: $290.67 (supply zone above)
Valuation Perspective π° P/E TTM 39.47x vs semiconductor peer average ~30-35x; Forward P/E 30.50x sits below historical average of 33.07x. P/S TTM 12.25x reflects premium analog franchise pricing. Dividend yield 2.15%.
Analyst Targets π¦ 32 institutions: 6 Strong Buy, 12 Buy, 18 Hold, 2 Underperform, 1 Sell. Average target $309.53 (range $184.59β$400.00). KeyBanc recently raised PT to $390; Arete upgraded to Buy with $405 target; Morgan Stanley remains Underweight at $230.
Weekly Outlook π Holding above $260 supports mean reversion toward $270β$275, then $290 strong resistance. Losing $260 accelerates retest of $240β$245 gap zone, with $203 only as extreme downside. Bias: consolidation-to-mild-rebound within projected $252β$278 range.
β οΈ Risk Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Trading involves substantial risk.
π―$Texas Instruments(TXN) Options Strategy: Bull Call Spread (Debit Spread)
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Underlying: TXN (Texas Instruments)
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View: Cautiously bullish; holding the $260 pivot supports a mean-reversion bounce toward $270β$275, with $290 as a stronger resistance
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Strategy Type: Bull Call Spread (debit spread, long volatility with capped risk)
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Option Contract Portfolio:
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Buy 1x TXN Sep 11, 2026 $265 Call @ $4.50 mid (bid/ask: $3.90/$5.05)
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Sell 1x TXN Sep 11, 2026 $275 Call @ $1.77 mid (bid/ask: $1.06/$2.07)
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Max Gain & Loss:
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Max Gain: $750 per spread (width $10 β net debit $2.73)
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Max Loss: $273 per spread (net debit paid)
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Initial Cost/Credit: Net Debit β $2.73 per share ($273 per contract set)
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