🗳️ My vote: C — Higher for longer.
Even if the Fed doesn’t hike again immediately, the bigger market risk may be rates staying elevated well into 2027.
With inflation still sticky and oil above $100, I think the path back to easy money could take longer than markets hope.
Fed Hikes for First Time in Three Years — Why No Market Relief?
The Fed raised 25bp to 3.75%–4.00% at 2 a.m. Beijing Wednesday, its first hike since July 2023. The result was in line and stocks still could not rally: QQQ +0.03% to $704.72, SPY −0.44% to $754.05, S&P 500 −0.45% to 7,551.81, gold +1.10%. The weight was the dot plot — 16 of 19 officials want another hike this year — and Chair Warsh saying inflation is too high, too persistent, with no clear improvement in the summer data. Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan and Goldman are still constructive on earnings and growth. But the market priced one hike; the dots say two. Has the market accepted the second one?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.
Comments