πŸ”₯ MEMORY PRICES +500% β€” BULLISH OR A WARNING?

Kentzw
09-22 14:14

Everyone saw the headline.

Intel CEO Lip-Bu Tan said memory prices have risen 5–7x, with supply constraints potentially getting worse.

The market’s reaction was immediate:

πŸ“ˆ $MU +5.50%

πŸ“ˆ $SNDK +6.21%

πŸ“ˆ $SK Hynix +4.64%

πŸ“ˆ $INTC +7.67%

But here’s the part I find more interesting:

Who is actually benefiting from those higher prices?

For memory manufacturers, rising prices can mean dramatically higher revenue and margins β€” especially when supply is constrained.

For PC makers, phone companies and other hardware customers, it’s the opposite.

They’re paying more for a critical component.

That means the same 500%+ price increase can be interpreted in two completely different ways:

🟒 Bull case: AI demand is overwhelming supply, giving memory producers pricing power.

πŸ”΄ Risk case: Prices have moved so far that customers start cutting orders, delaying products or passing costs on to consumers.

And there is already evidence of pressure further down the chain. Reuters reported that smaller phone and laptop makers are redesigning products and passing costs on as they deal with the shortage. οΏΌ

So I’m not asking whether higher memory prices are β€œgood.”

I’m asking:

Good for whom?

The next big test is whether elevated prices translate into sustainable earnings and margins for $MU, $SNDK and $SK Hynix β€” or eventually become a demand problem for the companies buying the memory.

πŸ‘€ Which side are you on?

A. πŸš€ Bullish β€” pricing power means the memory cycle still has room to run

B. ⚠️ Cautious β€” prices this high could eventually destroy demand

C. πŸ”„ Both β€” great for memory makers, painful for the rest of the hardware chain

Memory Prices Up Over 500% β€” Does That Still Count as Good News?
Memory rallied Thursday on a line from Intel's CEO: memory prices are up more than 500%. Micron +5.50% to $977.50, SanDisk +6.21% to $1,614.39, SK Hynix +4.64% to $182.99. Intel led them all, +7.67% to $108.80, on a second day of the SK Hynix foundry reports, which several outlets say is still not a deal. Wednesday the foundry rose 4% and memory sat still; Thursday memory caught up. Worth noting who said it. The 500% is a buyer describing what it now pays, not a seller reporting what it now earns. Same sentence, read as a cost complaint and as a bull case. Which is it?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

We need your insight to fill this gap
Leave a comment