吉3186
10-05
My view:
Memory looks more fragile.
Memory/storage prices depend heavily on supply shortages. If Toshiba or other companies increase production, prices and profits could fall quickly.
Compute like NVIDIA, AMD and Broadcom has a stronger long-term driver: AI demand. Even if hardware supply improves, AI companies still need more computing power for training and inference.
However, compute stocks are not risk-free. Their valuations are already high, so slower AI spending could cause a sharp correction.
The weak jobs report is also important. If the economy weakens and the Fed cuts rates, that could support high-growth tech stocks—but falling yields caused by a recession would be a different story.
Bottom line: I would be more cautious about memory/storage because the shortage can disappear when supply increases. For long-term investors, I prefer profitable AI compute leaders over companies whose profits mainly depend on a temporary supply shortage.
Chip Stocks Sold Off, But AMD Says Demand Still Outstrips Supply?
Chips retreated with the AI complex Thursday: Intel -5.34% to $107.08, Broadcom -4.35% to $360.14, AMD -3.90% to $620.68, Nvidia -2.94% to $230.48. AMD CEO Lisa Su said in Taipei this week that AI chip demand still exceeds supply even as output scales into 2026, with HBM, packaging and wafers all constrained; Intel CEO Lip-Bu Tan reaffirmed Terafab. Bulls say a read from those with real order books beats an accounting revision; bears say capacity is a 2026 story and downstream budgets validate demand, not supplier talk. Executives call demand insatiable while stocks fall — add here?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

We need your insight to fill this gap
Leave a comment