Friday looked ugly for the memory and HDD trade.
Then Monday told a very different story.
$Western Digital(WDC)$ jumped 6.34% to $441.64, while $Seagate Technology PLC(STX)$ gained 4.49% to $887.09, clawing back part of Friday’s 10%+ selloff.
The trigger? Investors appear to be reassessing fears around Toshiba’s planned capacity expansion.
Bernstein called the panic a “storm in a teacup”, maintaining Outperform ratings on both WDC and STX. The argument is simple: even if Toshiba significantly expands capacity, execution takes time — and current supply still looks well short of demand.
But there’s an important detail.
Not everything in the memory complex bounced.
$SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ slipped 0.92%, while $Micron Technology(MU)$ fell 1.02%.
That split is worth watching.
If the Friday selloff was simply an emotional overreaction, WDC and STX holding their rebounds could be an early sign that buyers are stepping back in.
But if Monday’s move fades quickly, it could turn out to be nothing more than a technical bounce after an aggressive selloff.
For me, the key question isn’t whether these stocks bounced.
It’s whether buyers are willing to defend the rebound.
A 6% recovery after a 10% drop gets attention.
Holding those gains would tell us much more.
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