苏36
10-14
3 Two themes to watch

Singapore’s latest MAS decision highlights a crucial point: a stronger currency does not automatically mean a stronger economy.

With Q3 GDP growing 5.4% year-on-year, AI investment supports manufacturing and trade. However, core inflation has rebounded to 2.1%, while higher energy and transport costs threaten household purchasing power.

The bigger story is the balancing act. A stronger SGD helps Singapore import goods more cheaply, but can make exports less competitive. For investors holding US stocks, currency movements add another layer of risk: even when share prices rise, USD gains may translate into smaller SGD returns.

My focus would be whether AI-driven growth remains sustainable and inflation genuinely cools in 2027. If AI investment slows while borrowing costs remain elevated, Singapore could face weaker growth without immediate inflation relief.

@Tiger_SG [龇牙]

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